Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-07-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10369 7368 118 572 59 1 0 0
OW 0 189 49 444 158 2 0 0
VODI 0 64 9 648 815 16 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 150 2205 70 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 2246 4410 0 0
VCDI 0 1 0 9 610 8499 6396 363
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9754 8017 145 602 112 0 0 0
OW 0 204 34 565 181 1 0 0
VODI 0 102 14 792 1119 9 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 62 1943 90 0 0
CDI 0 4 0 12 2272 4474 49 0
VCDI 0 8 0 13 349 7875 6972 83
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10423 7965 128 632 83 0 0 0
OW 0 118 37 564 87 1 0 0
VODI 0 12 6 1059 617 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 3006 81 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 2334 5135 86 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 187 6824 6209 232
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10447 8352 136 543 70 0 0 0
OW 0 200 55 719 74 2 0 0
VODI 0 16 8 1259 760 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 84 2285 380 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 2057 5087 56 6
VCDI 0 0 0 6 245 4016 8259 740
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10447 8320 136 623 77 0 0 0
OW 0 222 53 709 99 2 0 0
VODI 0 26 10 1188 919 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 85 2129 380 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 2008 5034 70 13
VCDI 0 0 0 5 259 4069 8245 733

Date: 2017-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11761 7683 109 446 68 0 0 0
OW 0 353 76 786 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 21 1196 1084 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 166 1471 575 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 1714 4358 808 4
VCDI 0 0 0 16 426 3322 6237 3049
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11761 7759 116 534 65 0 0 0
OW 0 272 68 826 120 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 22 1099 1180 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 134 1402 617 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 1630 4340 798 6
VCDI 0 0 0 14 452 3298 6247 3047

Date: 2017-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11829 8718 147 511 72 0 0 0
OW 0 250 51 745 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 8 1692 541 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 52 2523 196 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 1242 5242 206 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 184 2027 6165 3441
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11829 8299 112 478 75 0 0 0
OW 0 518 60 800 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 155 34 1421 694 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 255 1041 715 45 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 2415 4194 362 5
VCDI 0 0 0 6 289 2547 5964 3436

Date: 2017-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12117 9236 136 566 48 1 0 0
OW 0 164 44 748 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 6 1315 657 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 282 2103 422 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 16 2357 3971 322 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 143 3233 6895 953
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12117 8745 109 534 65 1 0 0
OW 0 495 50 788 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 233 25 1077 705 75 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 405 1060 831 64 0
CDI 0 0 0 113 3190 3430 459 0
VCDI 0 2 0 10 266 3290 6694 953

Date: 2017-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14080 7797 91 486 38 0 0 0
OW 0 280 46 760 88 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 16 1055 859 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 187 1995 722 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 1947 4464 336 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 142 2277 5969 2163
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14080 7449 83 670 70 0 0 0
OW 0 501 43 835 103 0 0 0
VODI 0 172 25 672 884 184 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 267 1305 1060 112 0
CDI 0 0 2 56 2482 4146 647 24
VCDI 0 0 0 8 225 2074 5546 2139


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh to. 31. mai 06:20:20 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy