Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-07-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84047 10942 132 947 34 4 0 0
OW 0 144 56 669 172 8 0 0
VODI 0 21 3 580 760 15 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 105 1098 271 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 547 2703 266 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1925 3598 13
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84459 10948 143 850 54 1 0 0
OW 0 142 24 634 289 4 0 0
VODI 0 46 17 389 875 56 0 0
ODI 0 17 4 135 1024 329 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 68 1056 3207 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 2029 2110 8
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84521 11516 142 742 66 0 0 0
OW 0 55 36 589 168 3 0 0
VODI 0 13 5 528 741 5 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 182 1501 116 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 1360 3252 119 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 2249 1171 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86007 10386 167 704 19 0 0 0
OW 0 94 29 671 156 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 10 630 757 8 0 0
ODI 0 12 6 177 1331 183 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 1324 3085 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 1895 1391 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86007 10378 163 765 38 0 0 0
OW 0 104 36 664 158 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 7 586 746 8 0 0
ODI 0 12 6 160 1289 186 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 1351 3182 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 1795 1391 0

Date: 2017-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86639 9908 124 738 96 0 0 0
OW 0 127 29 747 242 4 0 0
VODI 0 57 12 578 811 17 0 0
ODI 0 15 6 132 1246 359 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 796 3416 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1327 1635 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86639 9900 130 878 105 0 0 0
OW 0 135 23 639 242 4 0 0
VODI 0 54 12 540 779 22 0 0
ODI 0 18 6 130 1163 340 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 902 3494 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1263 1632 0

Date: 2017-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86763 10380 128 657 42 0 0 0
OW 17 122 41 649 107 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 8 717 398 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 76 2050 177 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 805 3577 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1060 1289 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86726 10196 130 861 92 0 0 0
OW 41 199 26 527 252 3 0 0
VODI 13 80 13 524 706 101 0 0
ODI 0 32 8 155 1145 270 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 1207 3140 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1305 1280 0

Date: 2017-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88043 9415 130 734 84 0 0 0
OW 9 105 40 604 163 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 4 521 640 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 1340 703 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 572 3704 105 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 318 1697 20
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88011 9164 110 846 180 0 0 0
OW 33 195 30 469 293 38 0 0
VODI 8 130 29 420 664 257 0 0
ODI 0 45 5 162 794 480 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 71 868 3529 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 447 1747 20

Date: 2017-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90137 7657 124 682 103 0 0 0
OW 1 135 25 602 206 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 3 408 838 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 57 1287 565 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 430 3435 661 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 158 1489 75
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90111 7449 109 784 165 0 0 0
OW 21 199 23 444 445 1 0 0
VODI 6 126 14 337 699 189 0 0
ODI 0 28 6 158 814 348 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 741 3293 381 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 334 1769 75


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh to. 31. mai 06:07:39 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy