Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-07-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 888 7279 108 321 51 0 0 0
OW 1 810 129 826 142 2 0 0
VODI 0 189 54 1496 1152 41 0 0
ODI 1 0 0 167 2588 902 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 403 7931 2236 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1710 2655 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 939 7656 110 362 36 0 0 0
OW 0 849 131 871 209 1 0 0
VODI 0 186 69 1410 1388 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 211 2391 1312 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 570 7547 2941 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 1556 1275 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1236 8375 101 344 39 0 0 0
OW 2 639 156 871 76 1 0 0
VODI 0 31 28 1583 821 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 2827 210 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 832 9973 1371 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 438 2044 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1801 8375 72 238 29 0 0 0
OW 1 719 150 910 115 1 0 0
VODI 1 66 48 1441 939 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 123 2558 634 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 828 9260 1688 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1010 1062 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1802 8445 79 283 41 0 0 0
OW 1 614 144 818 101 1 0 0
VODI 0 101 46 1394 848 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 217 2509 565 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 970 9278 1715 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1062 1030 0

Date: 2017-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1862 8793 71 240 23 0 0 0
OW 0 910 141 855 126 0 0 0
VODI 0 137 65 1287 945 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 161 2475 957 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1129 8304 1694 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1057 844 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1862 8891 78 293 45 0 0 0
OW 0 807 136 728 109 0 0 0
VODI 0 141 61 1273 861 7 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 247 2309 943 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1374 8333 1711 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1041 803 0

Date: 2017-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2338 9591 128 301 23 1 0 0
OW 1 349 120 950 41 3 0 0
VODI 0 7 9 1172 536 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 69 2877 126 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 873 9130 1587 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 727 1119 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2339 8871 75 322 48 1 0 0
OW 0 889 100 704 123 5 0 0
VODI 0 187 79 1197 729 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 248 2108 1216 213 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 1342 7815 1705 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 924 788 0

Date: 2017-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2614 9735 174 574 21 4 0 0
OW 0 195 90 951 103 6 0 0
VODI 0 6 6 931 774 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 72 2598 505 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1037 9772 578 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 996 331 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2614 9035 98 494 69 4 0 0
OW 0 717 110 770 179 6 0 0
VODI 0 176 60 1007 845 84 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 244 2013 2251 99 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 1427 7898 483 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1049 327 0

Date: 2017-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2541 10186 149 522 18 3 0 0
OW 0 285 91 897 140 3 0 0
VODI 0 50 17 800 812 9 0 0
ODI 0 8 0 77 2449 1107 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1122 8809 1230 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 209 534 14
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2541 9394 105 612 97 4 0 0
OW 0 763 75 552 268 9 0 0
VODI 0 320 69 842 891 227 0 0
ODI 0 52 8 270 1826 3446 316 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 1459 6100 820 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 354 628 14


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