Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-07-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 175 5548 150 655 57 1 0 0
OW 0 330 100 1086 250 11 0 0
VODI 0 24 12 1154 1563 122 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 147 2376 858 2 0
CDI 0 0 1 41 862 6376 2631 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 3283 4200 62
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 135 5980 149 572 48 1 0 0
OW 0 430 104 1216 297 28 0 0
VODI 0 41 15 1103 1772 137 0 0
ODI 0 6 8 184 1950 1324 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 723 6367 3331 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2792 3271 63
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 521 6619 141 456 65 0 0 0
OW 0 347 122 1111 111 8 0 0
VODI 0 113 34 1486 1052 40 0 0
ODI 1 0 1 143 2870 482 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 696 6842 2106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 3667 3045 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 736 7196 110 385 30 0 0 0
OW 0 722 150 891 103 8 0 0
VODI 0 163 46 1500 1101 37 0 0
ODI 1 0 0 152 2674 690 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 525 7554 1945 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2342 3021 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 736 7183 125 467 42 0 0 0
OW 0 697 127 761 100 7 0 0
VODI 1 201 54 1526 1057 41 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 174 2602 643 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 632 7873 1908 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2067 3058 0

Date: 2017-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 992 7427 101 313 45 0 0 0
OW 1 832 134 824 179 2 0 0
VODI 1 146 60 1454 1315 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 167 2580 1046 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 457 7356 3241 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 1599 1737 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 992 7409 115 426 72 0 0 0
OW 1 798 116 710 173 0 0 0
VODI 1 198 64 1427 1245 42 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 195 2547 1000 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 562 7497 2821 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 1509 2150 0

Date: 2017-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1039 8210 114 318 19 0 0 0
OW 1 721 167 795 63 1 0 0
VODI 0 39 36 1721 714 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 2987 181 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 793 9383 1888 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 717 1969 127
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1039 7755 113 434 61 0 0 0
OW 1 976 134 853 177 0 0 0
VODI 0 238 65 1391 1168 51 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 219 2207 1549 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 963 7708 2399 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 986 1428 127

Date: 2017-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1562 8293 86 296 43 0 0 0
OW 1 678 155 889 86 1 0 0
VODI 1 50 40 1549 897 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 124 2604 382 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1018 9704 1364 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 566 1692 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1562 7780 93 428 87 0 0 0
OW 2 966 110 804 197 0 0 0
VODI 0 275 77 1368 1191 55 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 258 2161 1721 139 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 996 8149 1463 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 729 1454 0

Date: 2017-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1919 8489 82 251 33 0 0 0
OW 2 811 127 877 143 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 61 1220 1077 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 139 2569 800 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1359 8860 1151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1116 865 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1921 7848 87 455 105 0 0 0
OW 0 1164 97 620 315 0 0 0
VODI 0 411 82 1192 1354 158 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 219 1952 2710 156 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1455 6713 1083 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1201 777 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh to. 31. mai 05:54:28 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy