Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-07-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66255 21677 4123 1626 135 3 0 0
OW 7 4 68 700 253 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 527 947 77 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 132 1362 411 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 91 563 2046 230 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 798 4090 2936
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65790 23415 3270 1469 148 3 0 0
OW 6 6 98 762 258 36 3 0
VODI 0 2 21 557 886 176 10 0
ODI 0 0 0 193 921 601 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 89 488 1670 497 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 799 4933 1985
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80997 12930 134 614 101 0 1 0
OW 6 61 52 600 204 2 4 0
VODI 0 0 1 378 828 34 22 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 1068 430 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 409 2281 413 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2850 4238 331
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82545 11572 160 723 88 1 0 0
OW 4 59 34 695 238 17 0 0
VODI 0 3 5 342 894 71 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 58 984 389 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 517 2504 216 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1992 4423 533
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82545 11553 160 805 124 8 0 0
OW 4 76 32 603 253 22 0 0
VODI 0 5 7 345 881 62 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 58 908 357 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 554 2547 226 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1978 4413 533

Date: 2017-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80867 13486 158 914 94 4 0 0
OW 2 80 32 605 293 24 0 0
VODI 0 17 10 286 879 105 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 56 984 272 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 543 2222 615 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1858 3992 651
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80867 13474 159 1029 153 4 0 0
OW 2 88 28 487 312 18 0 0
VODI 0 19 13 284 836 91 1 0
ODI 0 2 1 60 887 278 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 605 2240 671 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1854 3930 651

Date: 2017-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83227 11383 125 871 64 1 0 0
OW 2 51 42 564 157 10 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 453 619 41 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 1421 207 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 433 2989 244 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3155 2894 78
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83228 11308 118 1109 199 7 0 0
OW 1 84 33 455 330 31 0 0
VODI 0 29 9 257 831 111 3 0
ODI 0 12 6 64 712 365 29 0
CDI 0 3 2 67 621 2580 389 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 3309 2719 78

Date: 2017-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82275 12410 140 1038 79 5 0 0
OW 1 44 27 661 170 16 0 0
VODI 0 25 3 407 816 43 1 0
ODI 0 0 2 80 1212 228 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 585 2486 685 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2529 3112 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82276 12305 128 1281 232 10 0 0
OW 0 99 30 498 339 30 1 0
VODI 0 38 5 251 815 128 7 0
ODI 0 26 6 80 668 359 31 0
CDI 0 11 3 90 808 2127 694 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2653 3071 0

Date: 2017-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84047 10942 132 947 34 4 0 0
OW 0 144 56 669 172 8 0 0
VODI 0 21 3 580 760 15 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 105 1098 271 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 547 2703 266 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1925 3598 13
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84047 10855 136 1295 201 9 0 0
OW 0 141 37 471 344 10 0 0
VODI 0 75 12 343 780 79 0 0
ODI 0 28 6 128 663 349 0 0
CDI 0 12 2 98 622 2658 456 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1821 3408 13


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