Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-07-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1860 1365 1076 120 38 0 0
OW 0 10 162 1144 203 59 0 0
VODI 0 6 12 1238 981 228 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 502 2330 753 24 0
CDI 0 3 1 73 1158 5699 2850 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 15 2061 6723 1378
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1952 1540 1031 151 20 0 0
OW 0 20 323 1191 222 86 0 0
VODI 0 0 67 1457 991 314 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 553 2350 671 42 0
CDI 0 0 0 72 1467 5346 3109 0
VCDI 0 0 1 0 90 3815 5177 19
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 5172 167 488 117 0 0 0
OW 0 259 95 885 192 37 0 0
VODI 0 66 17 1125 1283 100 13 0
ODI 0 10 0 146 2731 813 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 812 6936 1005 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 3763 5760 13
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57 5537 154 629 50 1 0 0
OW 0 325 98 1007 205 12 0 0
VODI 0 40 25 1214 1393 95 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 151 2546 861 0 0
CDI 1 0 0 41 983 6742 1790 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 3107 4985 31
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57 5534 171 687 62 1 0 0
OW 0 296 75 888 179 9 0 0
VODI 0 72 31 1233 1345 82 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 188 2543 917 0 0
CDI 1 0 0 46 1035 6808 1871 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 3001 4904 31

Date: 2017-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 208 5723 148 601 43 1 0 0
OW 0 322 101 1179 287 21 0 0
VODI 0 16 6 1044 1775 128 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 166 2127 1099 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 767 6304 3135 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 3522 3280 53
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 208 5733 158 706 70 1 0 0
OW 0 300 85 1002 258 21 0 0
VODI 0 28 12 1108 1614 117 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 156 2195 1132 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 854 6471 3020 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 11 3333 3395 53

Date: 2017-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 452 6132 140 537 31 0 0 0
OW 0 326 94 1137 106 2 0 0
VODI 0 32 20 1390 1035 56 0 0
ODI 0 18 1 86 3056 543 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 547 6666 2382 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2695 4594 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 452 5881 128 718 60 0 0 0
OW 0 438 85 1113 294 18 0 0
VODI 0 154 32 1057 1732 166 4 0
ODI 0 27 8 235 1837 1400 0 0
CDI 0 8 2 29 852 5912 3949 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2466 3025 0

Date: 2017-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 686 6800 125 495 44 0 0 0
OW 0 536 140 1003 135 14 0 0
VODI 0 133 31 1316 1280 50 0 0
ODI 1 0 0 88 2689 666 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 601 7513 1647 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 2345 3719 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 686 6588 131 561 61 2 0 0
OW 0 715 121 929 290 21 0 0
VODI 0 120 38 1209 1944 179 0 0
ODI 1 44 6 184 1711 1270 7 0
CDI 0 2 0 19 768 6776 3140 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2340 2219 0

Date: 2017-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 888 7279 108 321 51 0 0 0
OW 1 810 129 826 142 2 0 0
VODI 0 189 54 1496 1152 41 0 0
ODI 1 0 0 167 2588 902 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 403 7931 2236 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1710 2655 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 888 7213 123 479 71 1 0 0
OW 1 745 103 909 438 10 0 0
VODI 1 274 51 1206 1729 191 0 0
ODI 0 45 13 202 1602 1585 37 0
CDI 0 1 1 14 494 6809 2770 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1990 2084 0


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