Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-06-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63994 20816 5350 1571 117 8 0 0
OW 20 1 75 853 252 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 25 468 790 72 1 0
ODI 0 0 23 66 747 814 36 0
CDI 0 0 6 118 480 2830 1386 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 87 841 5515 1737
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58307 23311 8510 1848 128 5 0 0
OW 19 5 65 901 240 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 28 461 777 138 6 0
ODI 0 0 25 60 734 851 38 0
CDI 0 0 4 113 553 2981 1146 3
VCDI 0 0 0 2 108 787 3452 3492
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64182 19353 5674 3122 148 0 0 0
OW 17 4 55 767 128 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 582 478 25 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 1046 467 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 675 3264 723 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 800 4420 2982
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67412 19379 4739 1103 135 4 0 0
OW 15 16 75 696 173 3 0 0
VODI 0 2 12 427 644 61 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 978 606 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 693 3025 606 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 747 3683 3726
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67412 19379 4744 1165 138 3 0 0
OW 15 15 72 650 181 13 0 0
VODI 0 3 10 419 664 69 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 977 665 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 664 2950 621 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 746 3666 3726

Date: 2017-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65722 19020 6625 1490 170 12 0 0
OW 12 9 45 698 211 7 0 0
VODI 0 8 17 355 771 110 1 0
ODI 0 2 0 99 1116 510 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 97 1047 2472 347 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 1193 5222 1695
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65722 19019 6622 1537 206 14 0 0
OW 12 10 53 634 239 12 0 0
VODI 0 8 12 372 774 105 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 96 1091 521 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 100 1006 2457 358 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 1195 5210 1695

Date: 2017-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65412 21750 4596 1330 180 5 0 0
OW 9 8 39 625 130 2 0 0
VODI 0 3 2 440 655 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 106 1832 374 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 731 2481 267 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1827 5549 658
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65412 21742 4518 1417 282 11 0 0
OW 9 16 96 528 355 24 0 0
VODI 0 3 20 374 869 144 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 88 1049 629 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 160 958 1921 347 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 17 1980 5469 658

Date: 2017-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62953 24128 4915 1501 160 0 0 0
OW 9 0 44 645 170 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 543 816 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 104 1576 409 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 84 618 1985 365 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1024 4447 2542
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62953 24108 4772 1600 301 6 4 0
OW 9 18 137 490 386 22 4 0
VODI 0 2 36 468 799 149 0 0
ODI 0 0 15 128 1041 478 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 191 802 1718 433 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1091 4365 2542

Date: 2017-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66255 21677 4123 1626 135 3 0 0
OW 7 4 68 700 253 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 527 947 77 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 132 1362 411 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 91 563 2046 230 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 798 4090 2936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66255 21641 3998 1772 338 9 2 0
OW 7 26 136 502 400 22 5 0
VODI 0 10 31 481 737 163 3 0
ODI 0 3 15 142 1057 438 17 0
CDI 0 1 18 179 712 1845 235 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 869 4069 2936


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