Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-06-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2459 1816 2683 165 9 0 0
OW 0 24 101 1277 265 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 32 989 1369 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 277 2159 174 13 0
CDI 0 0 6 283 1244 1806 1155 0
VCDI 0 0 0 237 293 1564 10925 14485
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2938 2184 2739 178 8 0 0
OW 0 31 173 1187 489 1 0 0
VODI 0 1 64 1091 1420 127 0 0
ODI 0 3 35 178 801 629 18 0
CDI 0 27 40 288 649 2066 1362 0
VCDI 0 0 2 224 333 2583 13293 10704
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3529 2890 2763 138 1 0 0
OW 0 12 84 1400 148 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 32 1038 870 5 0 0
ODI 0 14 25 254 1371 256 2 0
CDI 0 1 33 356 683 2109 754 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 179 2020 12589 12282
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3244 3251 3288 203 0 0 0
OW 0 24 95 1310 264 1 0 0
VODI 0 14 35 1110 741 5 0 0
ODI 0 8 26 324 1187 112 2 0
CDI 0 0 55 350 1145 1972 784 0
VCDI 0 0 0 50 632 3067 7505 15062
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3245 3287 3524 211 0 0 0
OW 0 27 64 1201 219 1 0 0
VODI 0 13 36 989 707 5 0 0
ODI 0 5 25 313 1028 118 3 0
CDI 0 0 50 384 1444 2037 743 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 563 2996 7545 15062

Date: 2017-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4011 3355 3130 146 0 0 0
OW 0 21 238 1221 165 1 0 0
VODI 0 13 76 872 795 12 0 0
ODI 0 7 37 224 1133 207 15 0
CDI 0 0 64 459 1830 2233 287 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 4448 3981 5163 11720
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4013 3396 3329 157 0 0 0
OW 0 21 201 1129 142 1 0 0
VODI 0 11 86 759 699 19 0 0
ODI 0 6 34 224 1103 199 11 0
CDI 0 1 53 467 2065 2204 316 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4351 4011 5138 11720

Date: 2017-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3928 4569 2959 156 0 0 0
OW 0 17 87 920 101 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 41 650 728 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 39 150 1739 188 8 0
CDI 0 0 27 328 2342 2883 278 0
VCDI 0 0 0 57 1112 5592 6849 10105
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3897 4447 3018 186 0 0 0
OW 0 29 134 902 323 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 65 498 623 44 2 0
ODI 0 14 70 111 1167 358 40 0
CDI 0 3 47 478 2270 2438 532 0
VCDI 0 0 0 57 1609 5824 6561 10105

Date: 2017-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4706 4850 2661 86 1 0 0
OW 0 32 93 865 133 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 53 665 673 14 7 0
ODI 0 2 43 244 1388 226 31 0
CDI 0 0 39 356 1323 3703 552 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 764 5468 8861 8017
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4657 4758 2513 109 1 0 0
OW 0 40 134 995 130 1 0 0
VODI 0 30 52 562 533 50 9 0
ODI 0 21 70 194 1330 363 57 0
CDI 0 2 64 527 1250 3385 867 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1015 5612 8518 8017

Date: 2017-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5910 5052 1994 58 0 0 0
OW 0 61 131 786 172 1 0 0
VODI 0 27 47 571 683 34 2 0
ODI 0 14 35 340 1293 389 6 0
CDI 0 4 62 439 1691 3612 214 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 596 8141 6581 6920
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5754 4910 1870 59 0 0 0
OW 0 115 225 563 150 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 29 722 463 43 0 0
ODI 0 46 45 393 1372 383 8 0
CDI 0 39 118 582 1627 3620 481 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 822 8131 6314 6920


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