Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-06-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62569 20649 3729 1860 185 17 0 0
OW 50 23 123 899 228 29 2 0
VODI 0 4 53 534 544 89 14 0
ODI 0 0 26 467 857 451 43 0
CDI 0 0 21 350 784 2480 1326 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 156 1499 5376 3637
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62512 18904 5453 2249 230 31 0 0
OW 50 35 115 670 281 48 6 0
VODI 0 14 54 511 527 170 52 0
ODI 0 0 30 471 913 549 92 0
CDI 0 0 12 304 826 3083 1426 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 1331 5537 2558
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60375 19787 7179 2300 181 14 0 0
OW 45 2 37 831 192 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 645 679 56 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 162 1159 294 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 95 754 4028 898 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 967 5097 3249
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59889 22503 5235 2481 197 25 0 0
OW 43 0 75 794 208 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 14 564 823 110 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 142 924 553 22 0
CDI 0 0 1 97 799 2711 1159 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 1459 4904 3326
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59889 22503 5223 2547 218 23 0 0
OW 43 0 86 703 185 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 15 562 797 102 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 164 922 587 23 0
CDI 0 0 1 102 824 2823 1212 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 1317 4850 3326

Date: 2017-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62127 18998 7203 2322 129 13 0 0
OW 41 0 156 979 236 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 35 592 798 79 10 0
ODI 0 0 17 139 724 520 62 0
CDI 0 0 4 80 641 2006 1292 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 86 1888 5792 2120
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62127 18991 7208 2432 137 13 0 0
OW 41 7 148 827 234 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 36 631 808 74 11 0
ODI 0 0 19 135 710 566 67 0
CDI 0 0 4 83 653 2097 1340 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 72 1755 5738 2120

Date: 2017-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63665 20847 4683 1896 133 20 0 0
OW 38 0 97 993 126 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 17 639 595 16 1 0
ODI 0 0 10 98 1152 203 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 69 799 3200 310 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 3332 5507 577
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63665 20844 4617 2115 254 22 0 0
OW 38 2 96 813 381 17 0 0
VODI 0 1 45 469 737 183 30 0
ODI 0 0 25 150 601 601 71 0
CDI 0 0 24 142 771 2472 795 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 111 3482 4943 577

Date: 2017-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60114 24819 4893 1660 118 8 0 0
OW 35 4 47 902 198 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 22 496 733 27 3 0
ODI 0 0 17 89 807 607 25 0
CDI 0 0 8 113 541 3007 1046 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 100 1597 5903 1158
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60114 24802 4727 1933 305 8 0 0
OW 35 12 122 657 409 35 0 0
VODI 0 5 67 371 682 297 32 0
ODI 0 4 28 118 454 768 107 0
CDI 0 0 43 170 535 2566 1819 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 112 1573 5019 1158

Date: 2017-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63994 20816 5350 1571 117 8 0 0
OW 20 1 75 853 252 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 25 468 790 72 1 0
ODI 0 0 23 66 747 814 36 0
CDI 0 0 6 118 480 2830 1386 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 87 841 5515 1737
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63994 20812 5146 1866 319 8 0 0
OW 20 4 162 489 418 69 0 0
VODI 0 0 79 417 617 320 35 0
ODI 0 1 56 121 517 786 110 0
CDI 0 0 36 183 511 2608 2063 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 91 775 4730 1726


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