Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-06-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59337 22122 4219 1901 279 31 5 0
OW 51 9 51 666 449 48 17 0
VODI 0 0 14 428 759 163 43 0
ODI 0 0 0 147 607 271 103 0
CDI 0 0 0 253 1022 2777 656 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 63 2476 5124 5007
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58902 22567 4522 1767 303 43 25 0
OW 50 9 54 714 435 73 28 0
VODI 0 0 18 415 588 165 97 0
ODI 0 0 3 185 524 297 69 0
CDI 0 0 0 248 1300 2677 689 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 2787 5097 4385
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61919 20267 4118 1704 296 43 4 0
OW 44 11 80 780 192 38 15 0
VODI 0 0 30 540 692 60 18 0
ODI 0 0 5 334 1031 202 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 143 1515 2588 434 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 107 2162 5885 3810
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62675 20444 3794 1705 192 25 2 0
OW 50 8 135 812 197 25 9 0
VODI 0 4 46 605 562 65 27 0
ODI 0 0 20 401 941 342 73 0
CDI 0 0 15 334 896 2091 1345 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 166 1393 5856 3810
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62675 20444 3797 1805 230 22 2 0
OW 50 8 126 698 188 31 8 0
VODI 0 4 49 613 519 55 28 0
ODI 0 0 23 410 920 386 60 0
CDI 0 0 15 330 909 2027 1405 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 188 1420 5809 3810

Date: 2017-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63877 19763 3303 2016 196 28 0 0
OW 50 30 111 809 245 32 11 0
VODI 0 7 52 496 561 112 40 0
ODI 0 0 30 485 879 482 73 0
CDI 0 0 15 325 841 2776 1443 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 106 1608 5540 2749
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63877 19779 3307 2166 234 23 0 0
OW 50 15 111 658 217 37 7 0
VODI 0 6 44 525 553 122 38 0
ODI 0 0 34 447 895 550 81 0
CDI 0 0 15 340 823 2640 1388 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 106 1666 5593 2749

Date: 2017-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59808 19645 7711 2085 173 15 0 0
OW 49 3 92 879 157 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 26 851 484 52 1 0
ODI 0 0 8 190 1295 221 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 89 778 4220 1012 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1004 5364 2852
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59807 19617 7636 2276 275 23 0 0
OW 50 21 106 562 312 65 6 0
VODI 0 10 43 584 560 272 45 0
ODI 0 0 37 369 810 617 131 0
CDI 0 0 15 303 886 3657 1410 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 893 4803 2852

Date: 2017-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62455 18427 6577 2400 222 17 0 0
OW 43 0 95 764 188 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 24 590 743 77 1 0
ODI 0 0 1 175 1007 464 42 0
CDI 0 0 0 96 943 3233 892 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 1130 6152 2309
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62454 18388 6333 2420 372 28 0 0
OW 44 27 169 472 392 81 3 0
VODI 0 12 94 550 717 278 51 0
ODI 0 0 87 279 584 804 79 0
CDI 0 0 14 300 1012 3066 1604 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 44 679 5350 2309

Date: 2017-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61755 20756 5620 2252 158 14 0 0
OW 41 0 111 899 210 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 27 604 821 94 9 0
ODI 0 0 15 156 766 564 35 0
CDI 0 0 1 87 630 2406 1107 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 91 1749 5617 2493
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61753 20642 5311 2509 353 51 0 0
OW 43 57 165 503 327 114 0 0
VODI 0 51 168 474 630 296 30 0
ODI 0 6 125 301 539 721 135 0
CDI 0 0 5 215 756 2383 1831 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 71 1270 4772 2493


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