Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-06-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59337 22810 5029 2347 347 40 5 0
OW 51 110 249 990 560 71 17 0
VODI 0 39 196 891 1081 257 54 0
ODI 0 9 139 772 1222 514 143 27
CDI 0 6 151 1212 2976 5120 1573 62
VCDI 0 0 60 468 1938 14213 35326 26636
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58902 23356 5229 2175 386 52 25 0
OW 50 147 292 1089 602 96 28 0
VODI 0 46 246 931 1134 246 109 12
ODI 0 11 166 907 1248 492 109 33
CDI 0 4 144 1278 3546 5327 1748 66
VCDI 0 0 61 584 2380 16098 34804 22889
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61919 21332 5275 2453 377 48 4 0
OW 44 25 296 1592 389 53 15 0
VODI 0 9 163 1460 1404 98 18 0
ODI 0 12 123 933 2339 403 34 1
CDI 0 0 69 1146 5090 6106 1157 17
VCDI 0 0 9 323 2384 12568 35944 21416
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62675 21589 4838 2733 332 33 2 0
OW 50 83 353 1571 570 42 9 0
VODI 0 41 220 1497 1416 127 33 0
ODI 0 15 183 1203 2155 639 89 0
CDI 0 6 165 1514 4079 5649 2774 9
VCDI 0 0 35 489 2327 9767 31466 26270
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62675 21598 4857 2900 409 32 2 0
OW 50 75 312 1400 539 42 8 0
VODI 0 40 232 1477 1408 127 35 0
ODI 0 19 190 1222 2144 718 78 0
CDI 0 2 164 1513 3958 5371 2885 13
VCDI 0 0 39 495 2421 9967 31365 26266

Date: 2017-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63877 20884 4355 3241 360 36 0 0
OW 50 142 329 1748 653 90 14 0
VODI 0 69 258 1473 1254 238 51 0
ODI 0 18 237 1412 2038 831 137 0
CDI 0 12 187 1557 3654 7120 2832 0
VCDI 0 0 52 603 2198 9138 32250 23650
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63877 20911 4374 3510 428 45 0 0
OW 50 111 299 1466 589 80 8 0
VODI 0 72 245 1512 1329 236 56 0
ODI 0 24 270 1356 2088 956 159 0
CDI 0 7 172 1583 3492 6789 2764 0
VCDI 0 0 58 607 2231 9347 32297 23650

Date: 2017-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59808 21090 9414 3572 305 24 0 0
OW 49 49 404 2048 368 30 1 0
VODI 0 9 166 2568 1262 124 13 0
ODI 0 3 50 1007 3280 524 35 0
CDI 0 0 66 768 3333 10178 1690 0
VCDI 0 0 0 290 1178 7479 36286 19577
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59807 20889 8948 3773 494 57 0 0
OW 50 142 316 1403 655 125 14 0
VODI 0 75 321 1597 1218 384 72 0
ODI 0 33 287 1303 1936 1044 174 0
CDI 0 11 155 1554 3346 8779 3459 0
VCDI 0 1 73 623 2077 7970 34306 19577

Date: 2017-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62455 20242 8648 4181 394 22 0 0
OW 43 39 273 2136 451 43 1 0
VODI 0 21 153 2056 1602 156 5 0
ODI 0 2 36 992 2950 748 56 0
CDI 0 0 90 759 5498 6903 2499 11
VCDI 0 0 5 458 1145 6169 33687 22119
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62454 19947 7775 4016 717 67 0 0
OW 44 197 425 1336 709 126 4 0
VODI 0 111 421 1716 1316 373 55 0
ODI 0 44 308 1277 1836 1045 129 0
CDI 0 5 182 1502 5200 6372 4485 0
VCDI 0 0 94 735 2262 6058 31575 22130

Date: 2017-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61756 23041 7672 4143 370 24 1 0
OW 41 57 410 2317 563 39 0 0
VODI 0 16 186 1980 1766 211 14 0
ODI 0 12 68 1048 2707 984 134 0
CDI 0 2 125 789 3626 6983 3123 34
VCDI 0 0 69 587 1168 8246 32881 19855
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61754 22577 6932 4287 862 88 0 0
OW 43 233 427 1321 666 180 2 0
VODI 0 197 424 1809 1229 423 35 0
ODI 0 56 338 1239 1717 1011 227 0
CDI 0 47 215 1463 4089 6597 4591 0
VCDI 0 18 194 745 1637 8188 31298 19889


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