Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-05-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 68 117 97 1 0 0 0
OW 0 11 21 66 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 10 85 16 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 52 55 62 1 0
CDI 0 0 41 131 220 316 191 0
VCDI 0 0 1 148 695 3901 12625 13119
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 62 116 103 8 0 0 0
OW 0 20 27 58 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 19 81 27 7 0 0
ODI 0 6 37 52 69 41 4 0
CDI 0 0 66 137 181 273 158 0
VCDI 0 0 19 202 747 3615 12347 13571
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 151 153 8 0 0 0
OW 0 17 54 109 11 1 0 0
VODI 0 6 42 124 21 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 23 71 100 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 15 154 370 293 97 0
VCDI 0 0 15 144 564 3554 12907 12957
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 148 171 114 4 0 0 0
OW 0 10 55 104 13 1 0 0
VODI 0 1 65 113 24 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 38 124 57 27 36 2
CDI 0 0 35 305 315 277 224 25
VCDI 0 0 23 200 788 4302 15764 8712
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 148 182 138 6 0 0 0
OW 0 11 53 77 12 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 55 125 27 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 43 123 40 27 27 2
CDI 0 0 37 292 336 277 205 25
VCDI 0 0 17 205 780 4299 15792 8712

Date: 2017-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 156 171 98 14 0 0 0
OW 0 9 54 91 16 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 68 131 34 9 12 11
ODI 0 0 48 170 38 39 25 32
CDI 0 0 31 292 317 358 315 62
VCDI 0 0 22 313 1215 4057 14653 9219
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 157 186 129 17 1 0 0
OW 0 7 52 68 21 2 0 0
VODI 0 1 54 132 30 17 12 16
ODI 0 0 51 179 42 43 25 32
CDI 0 0 36 312 344 359 306 58
VCDI 0 0 15 275 1180 4043 14662 9218

Date: 2017-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 312 218 42 8 0 0 0
OW 0 6 151 116 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 40 266 83 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 182 195 36 6 8
CDI 0 0 17 369 955 617 79 32
VCDI 0 0 12 232 996 5229 13387 8461
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 302 156 42 8 1 0 0
OW 0 14 66 32 16 2 0 0
VODI 0 2 106 77 30 13 2 10
ODI 0 0 66 198 99 40 29 33
CDI 0 0 33 409 552 360 321 75
VCDI 0 0 22 449 1542 5472 13120 8383

Date: 2017-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 370 269 54 6 0 0 0
OW 0 3 84 179 30 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 62 211 91 2 1 0
ODI 0 0 63 292 183 39 7 0
CDI 0 0 41 610 804 677 245 2
VCDI 0 0 19 377 1612 4756 10657 10335
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 348 155 25 5 1 0 0
OW 0 14 67 52 23 2 0 0
VODI 0 7 90 127 63 10 0 1
ODI 0 4 92 207 127 46 10 15
CDI 0 0 73 622 582 432 338 106
VCDI 0 0 61 690 1926 4984 10562 10215

Date: 2017-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26 375 185 132 11 0 0 0
OW 0 39 85 105 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 74 272 105 23 1 0
ODI 0 3 126 380 190 52 17 0
CDI 0 0 106 684 712 775 241 0
VCDI 0 0 35 551 1725 3576 9588 11842
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26 346 130 54 14 0 0 0
OW 0 39 44 84 49 2 0 0
VODI 0 40 75 184 93 27 0 0
ODI 0 14 97 325 132 93 18 0
CDI 0 0 149 664 704 873 479 0
VCDI 0 0 116 813 1775 3431 9350 11842


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