Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-05-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 109 103 31 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1 18 44 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 34 124 47 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 77 80 13 7 0
CDI 0 2 0 125 101 198 121 0
VCDI 0 0 0 126 366 1692 12091 16552
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 64 110 50 3 0 0 0
OW 0 2 3 24 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 7 123 53 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 59 111 31 5 0
CDI 0 0 1 118 67 221 129 0
VCDI 0 0 0 118 356 1972 12697 15743
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 131 103 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 8 111 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 6 115 33 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 79 102 23 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 167 214 174 165 23
VCDI 0 0 0 62 419 3211 13149 13757
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 117 56 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 34 70 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 8 85 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 8 57 63 36 2 0
CDI 0 0 23 127 240 332 163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 114 602 3855 11869 14083
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 118 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 32 79 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 7 92 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 7 59 60 32 1 0
CDI 0 0 26 102 202 320 158 0
VCDI 0 0 0 142 645 3871 11875 14083

Date: 2017-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 76 103 109 4 0 0 0
OW 0 14 27 53 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 6 82 20 3 0 0
ODI 0 6 25 51 55 48 4 0
CDI 0 0 61 136 191 277 251 0
VCDI 0 0 1 143 760 3901 12274 13367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 72 108 90 3 0 0 0
OW 0 18 20 69 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 5 85 18 2 0 0
ODI 0 6 22 47 57 48 1 0
CDI 0 0 60 107 171 268 273 1
VCDI 0 0 8 176 779 3911 12255 13366

Date: 2017-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 62 145 144 8 0 0 0
OW 0 32 70 110 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 35 124 52 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 36 64 127 14 1 0
CDI 0 0 18 144 325 363 80 0
VCDI 0 0 8 100 454 3143 12799 13600
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 44 117 103 4 0 0 0
OW 0 22 25 72 9 1 0 0
VODI 0 29 33 84 31 9 0 0
ODI 0 6 34 59 82 43 17 0
CDI 0 5 57 112 188 194 185 20
VCDI 0 0 46 256 662 3275 12678 13580

Date: 2017-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 153 172 105 2 0 0 0
OW 0 12 59 103 11 1 0 0
VODI 0 4 47 115 21 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 26 102 82 16 6 0
CDI 0 0 27 206 348 305 122 0
VCDI 0 0 29 171 689 3913 13914 11319
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 140 68 1 0 0 0
OW 0 29 19 38 8 2 0 0
VODI 0 29 23 81 36 11 8 0
ODI 0 4 33 103 79 37 51 15
CDI 0 1 72 205 231 340 283 28
VCDI 0 0 73 307 798 3847 13700 11276

Date: 2017-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 156 154 121 8 0 0 0
OW 0 12 57 91 17 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 66 117 28 7 7 0
ODI 0 0 36 160 51 30 29 27
CDI 0 0 33 324 326 349 242 54
VCDI 0 0 18 247 1041 3849 15323 9100
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 120 147 89 3 0 0 0
OW 0 18 9 43 13 4 0 0
VODI 0 27 34 117 43 23 13 14
ODI 0 3 53 127 74 68 65 34
CDI 0 0 60 290 366 491 414 64
VCDI 0 0 61 394 972 3651 15109 9069


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