Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - GODAE regions

Bulletin date: 2017-05-04

Model: ARC MFC - TOPAZ

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-05-08

Best estimate

Forecast

Arctic Deep Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 1 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 2 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 4 56 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 32 644 6675 29420
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 0 19 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 5 51 25 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 33 643 6674 29420

Queen Elisabeth Islands:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 51 69 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 93 234 1189 1489
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 8 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 4 82 74 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 89 198 1165 1489

Beaufort Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 29 16 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 74 26 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 169 161 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 115 646 3091 5626
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 31 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 53 32 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 128 137 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 175 672 3060 5626

Chuckchi Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 67 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 112 39 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 57 82 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 102 227 24 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 59 243 517 2307 1782
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 14 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 61 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 65 52 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 107 144 3 3 0
VCDI 0 0 2 150 383 538 2304 1782

Siberian Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 29 1 1 13
VCDI 0 0 0 7 130 238 2278 4485
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1 3 12 15
VCDI 0 0 0 71 158 236 2267 4483

Laptev Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2 23 47 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 431 3121 1636
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 7 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 3 29 104 40
VCDI 0 0 0 0 54 423 3054 1599

Kara Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 43 47 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 4 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 12 106 22 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 55 36 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 169 165 29 0
VCDI 0 0 0 80 378 1644 3312 85
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 39 30 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 10 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 18 37 13 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 57 35 36 2 0
CDI 0 0 2 67 119 132 60 0
VCDI 0 0 0 163 457 1679 3281 85

Barents Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 470 5629 1614 452 76 0 0 0
OW 0 22 12 143 71 8 0 0
VODI 0 12 0 76 122 21 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 51 152 27 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 152 163 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 157 1469 391 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 470 5613 1566 427 98 4 0 0
OW 0 27 36 143 87 11 0 0
VODI 0 17 24 61 113 27 0 0
ODI 0 10 0 39 105 42 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 63 138 113 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 189 1491 391 0

Greenland Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3375 3803 460 251 5 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 171 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 131 85 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 257 28 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 490 907 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 681 965 10
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3375 3803 441 251 5 0 0 0
OW 0 0 19 149 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 115 101 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 204 53 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 501 669 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 884 973 10

Southeast Greenland:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7271 3516 646 526 126 49 16 0
OW 0 0 0 101 96 16 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 33 125 52 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 172 114 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 19 65 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7271 3516 646 605 242 115 16 0
OW 0 0 0 36 94 95 12 0
VODI 0 0 0 25 133 62 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 68 24 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Baffin Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 37 4 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 47 37 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 102 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 149 408 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 204 1725 2939 99
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 43 3 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 27 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 17 41 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 58 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 124 127 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 269 2004 2940 99

Hudson Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 9 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 31 18 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 135 114 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 380 1852 4599 1390
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 13 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 74 41 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 468 1935 4599 1390

Labrador Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6771 4890 2655 1334 162 2 0 0
OW 0 0 0 191 320 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 35 548 34 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 679 376 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 167 1028 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 118 853 30 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6771 4890 2655 1496 492 43 0 0
OW 0 0 0 56 493 108 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 8 446 142 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 194 285 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 167 573 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 202 1157 31 0


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