Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-05-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 88 153 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 33 29 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 22 83 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 0 50 46 7 7 0
CDI 0 1 0 27 151 161 49 12
VCDI 0 0 0 51 293 1806 14060 14885
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 135 100 34 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 34 28 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 26 64 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 0 31 47 28 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 105 157 15 7
VCDI 0 0 0 24 308 2072 13575 15199
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 78 179 67 6 0 0 0
OW 0 12 17 56 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 0 57 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 33 33 2 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 74 153 57 31 22
VCDI 0 0 0 25 361 1842 12249 16689
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 68 196 51 4 0 0 0
OW 0 14 15 65 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 3 43 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 34 48 19 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 58 139 143 19 6
VCDI 0 0 0 113 385 1238 11017 18361
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 70 205 62 8 0 0 0
OW 0 18 8 61 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 1 35 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 35 45 16 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 53 129 134 19 7
VCDI 0 0 0 118 395 1250 11017 18360

Date: 2017-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 122 128 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 43 41 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 7 53 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 0 37 50 33 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 35 120 179 41 12
VCDI 0 0 0 117 475 2497 10318 17671
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 130 138 34 6 0 0 0
OW 0 16 34 38 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 6 41 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 0 45 45 35 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 38 124 165 36 16
VCDI 0 0 0 110 470 2509 10323 17667

Date: 2017-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 200 145 52 5 0 0 0
OW 0 22 16 43 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 12 120 28 4 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 76 67 42 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 116 225 227 83 16
VCDI 0 0 0 87 552 2491 10695 16733
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 181 81 24 3 0 0 0
OW 0 29 45 35 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 42 48 22 2 0 0
ODI 0 10 3 69 41 43 15 0
CDI 0 1 2 84 139 188 172 55
VCDI 0 0 0 234 671 2531 10596 16694

Date: 2017-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 148 131 52 2 0 0 0
OW 0 16 25 59 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 7 90 36 2 0 0
ODI 0 10 2 51 56 28 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 96 124 220 107 6
VCDI 0 0 0 148 504 2007 10913 17219
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 146 77 17 1 0 0 0
OW 0 17 68 51 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 18 58 26 1 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 60 33 49 22 3
CDI 0 1 0 63 76 197 244 66
VCDI 0 0 0 247 585 2010 10758 17156

Date: 2017-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 109 103 31 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1 18 44 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 34 124 47 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 77 80 13 7 0
CDI 0 2 0 125 101 198 121 0
VCDI 0 0 0 126 366 1692 12091 16552
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 102 71 16 1 0 0 0
OW 0 10 59 43 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 25 75 23 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 63 42 36 27 2
CDI 0 0 0 87 77 166 327 59
VCDI 0 0 0 243 454 1700 11865 16491


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