Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-04-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57539 20158 4314 2119 295 16 0 0
OW 51 51 136 517 332 14 0 0
VODI 0 5 80 352 699 134 24 0
ODI 0 0 32 172 600 453 51 0
CDI 0 0 11 113 495 1478 263 0
VCDI 0 0 0 78 315 3734 9337 5132
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53487 20889 7746 2119 258 24 0 0
OW 51 46 179 582 318 33 0 0
VODI 0 22 117 333 709 167 15 0
ODI 0 1 46 196 519 459 91 0
CDI 0 0 13 150 484 1503 299 0
VCDI 0 0 0 66 532 3453 9078 5115
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56362 20698 4937 2222 229 21 0 0
OW 51 11 58 744 327 21 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 379 807 158 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 79 701 505 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 476 2111 298 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 140 2946 9633 5146
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57002 19614 5179 2476 261 29 0 0
OW 51 1 73 670 438 30 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 337 878 186 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 85 634 515 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 689 1430 172 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 447 4295 8433 5121
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57002 19613 5196 2614 308 32 0 0
OW 51 2 58 578 400 28 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 298 884 162 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 636 554 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 687 1383 197 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 432 4326 8417 5121

Date: 2017-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58436 18833 4677 2430 421 18 0 0
OW 51 38 134 508 643 22 0 0
VODI 0 8 5 267 853 285 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 96 665 535 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 603 1458 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 234 4601 7913 5177
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58436 18859 4774 2563 525 26 0 0
OW 51 17 40 389 535 31 0 0
VODI 0 3 2 251 834 248 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 662 515 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 647 1478 120 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 216 4621 7924 5177

Date: 2017-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58388 20178 4441 1836 183 33 0 0
OW 51 24 24 711 275 21 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 442 747 76 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 83 1066 391 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 813 1884 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 279 4593 8221 4162
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58389 20179 4407 2123 347 48 0 0
OW 50 20 52 491 460 69 0 0
VODI 0 4 5 303 738 344 8 0
ODI 0 0 1 96 611 511 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 66 716 1229 130 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 491 4797 8216 4162

Date: 2017-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55348 20565 6689 2396 342 50 8 0
OW 50 8 13 580 442 48 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 259 898 184 29 0
ODI 0 0 0 98 748 577 43 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 817 2545 208 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 269 4408 7525 3918
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55348 20562 6607 2434 564 73 8 0
OW 50 8 88 435 431 162 11 0
VODI 0 3 7 298 792 354 26 0
ODI 0 0 0 122 563 558 52 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 795 1676 189 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 371 4989 7529 3918

Date: 2017-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57410 19501 6324 2009 312 52 2 0
OW 50 7 22 599 573 48 7 0
VODI 0 0 0 281 797 355 38 0
ODI 0 0 0 137 682 492 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 912 2006 101 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 246 3920 7656 4467
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57398 19470 6193 2068 499 96 2 0
OW 62 33 120 415 548 132 36 0
VODI 0 4 33 342 603 451 34 0
ODI 0 1 0 156 601 437 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 97 974 1546 100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 297 4211 7642 4467


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