Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-04-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 138 156 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 11 56 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 67 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 66 26 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 173 147 116 14
VCDI 0 0 0 1 81 1657 12712 16500
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 130 134 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 18 36 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 66 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 96 38 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 162 83 94 26
VCDI 0 0 0 0 217 1587 12603 16693
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 72 161 85 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 7 69 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 70 39 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 66 54 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 110 361 103 30
VCDI 0 0 0 0 153 1878 13230 15565
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 66 151 76 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 12 60 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 76 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 19 89 25 4 3
CDI 0 0 0 12 152 285 126 16
VCDI 0 0 0 27 253 2253 14259 14090
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 151 68 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 9 59 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 6 79 14 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 23 89 20 6 4
CDI 0 0 0 13 160 290 106 15
VCDI 0 0 0 28 249 2252 14277 14090

Date: 2017-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 73 151 40 2 0 0 0
OW 0 4 34 30 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 20 84 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 0 40 37 10 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 137 124 60 7
VCDI 0 0 0 49 320 1800 13870 15118
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 69 151 42 2 0 0 0
OW 0 8 32 28 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 19 82 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 3 45 45 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 139 125 58 11
VCDI 0 0 0 52 305 1804 13873 15114

Date: 2017-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 69 153 81 3 0 0 0
OW 0 7 18 55 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 0 51 29 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 30 45 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 53 145 193 42 5
VCDI 0 0 0 10 190 2094 12911 15839
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 62 132 57 2 0 0 0
OW 0 11 23 33 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 16 78 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 0 29 37 20 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 102 147 79 28
VCDI 0 0 0 32 259 2154 12873 15816

Date: 2017-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 81 194 55 12 0 0 0
OW 0 17 14 69 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 0 46 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 43 25 7 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 76 142 62 37 5
VCDI 0 0 0 78 431 1628 12329 16699
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 77 149 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 29 24 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 29 100 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 44 44 3 5 0
CDI 0 6 0 93 122 23 78 49
VCDI 0 0 0 90 451 1671 12285 16655

Date: 2017-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 158 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 34 64 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 5 50 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 41 43 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 47 141 112 33 7
VCDI 0 0 0 126 396 1541 9899 19183
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 97 129 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 27 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 39 93 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 37 30 10 1 0
CDI 0 2 2 65 107 121 53 72
VCDI 0 0 0 117 452 1536 9878 19118


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