Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-04-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59403 19812 3005 2072 337 9 0 0
OW 52 25 129 651 364 32 0 0
VODI 0 2 42 413 641 230 8 0
ODI 0 0 1 148 558 535 63 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 541 1217 542 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 198 2843 8807 6372
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55983 21915 3959 2136 371 8 0 0
OW 52 42 79 651 373 71 0 0
VODI 0 4 55 431 701 293 18 0
ODI 0 0 5 167 437 519 42 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 386 1172 429 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 274 3009 9186 6257
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54901 22930 4286 1958 240 7 0 0
OW 52 16 41 700 275 20 0 0
VODI 0 2 3 483 612 107 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 109 722 372 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 607 1237 188 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 232 3524 10567 4856
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55049 23138 3715 2234 259 12 0 0
OW 52 38 117 573 291 19 0 0
VODI 0 4 47 381 675 170 1 0
ODI 0 0 15 186 583 498 13 0
CDI 0 0 1 84 482 1466 220 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 259 3635 9703 5147
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55049 23119 3730 2290 279 11 0 0
OW 52 47 99 549 286 23 0 0
VODI 0 14 39 397 690 133 1 0
ODI 0 0 26 132 576 549 7 0
CDI 0 0 1 90 446 1372 222 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 272 3712 9707 5147

Date: 2017-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56120 22755 3318 2013 249 20 0 0
OW 51 87 166 537 279 24 0 0
VODI 0 19 120 370 690 137 15 0
ODI 0 0 40 171 593 412 72 0
CDI 0 0 16 132 492 1496 286 0
VCDI 0 0 0 76 381 3708 9137 5118
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56119 22755 3376 2113 268 20 0 0
OW 52 59 140 458 276 17 0 0
VODI 0 40 57 390 671 135 4 0
ODI 0 7 55 147 611 423 86 0
CDI 0 0 32 96 440 1478 321 0
VCDI 0 0 0 95 418 3724 9099 5118

Date: 2017-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54420 23119 3963 2558 204 27 0 0
OW 51 17 169 755 238 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 22 537 684 55 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 121 809 421 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 472 2540 350 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 153 2482 9636 5223
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54420 23023 3954 2934 370 37 0 0
OW 51 64 65 514 347 64 0 0
VODI 0 39 50 296 739 280 17 0
ODI 0 10 60 104 433 546 137 0
CDI 0 0 26 120 322 1602 423 3
VCDI 0 0 0 53 349 3004 9424 5220

Date: 2017-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57914 19927 4088 2332 271 30 0 0
OW 51 10 82 601 469 36 0 0
VODI 0 0 18 304 844 188 1 0
ODI 0 0 2 95 624 516 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 580 1652 238 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 264 3585 9270 5048
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57914 19837 4020 2365 484 78 0 0
OW 51 58 51 471 405 95 0 0
VODI 0 38 38 288 770 375 35 0
ODI 0 4 71 103 501 574 75 0
CDI 0 0 10 111 540 1365 260 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 352 3520 9167 5048

Date: 2017-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58140 19323 4370 2415 307 29 0 0
OW 51 2 112 578 596 31 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 250 796 321 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 85 497 676 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 543 1520 313 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 364 4320 8283 5099
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58140 19248 4285 2472 593 70 0 0
OW 51 65 82 370 545 183 0 0
VODI 0 12 83 250 604 540 57 0
ODI 0 0 37 141 381 476 84 0
CDI 0 0 0 124 508 1253 111 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 472 4375 8380 5099


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