Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-04-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 79 188 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 19 24 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 60 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 106 26 12 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 101 38 34 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 89 1140 11123 18979
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 102 184 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 29 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 70 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 109 25 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 104 41 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 226 1322 10960 18747
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 123 213 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 25 45 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 89 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 96 43 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 191 98 64 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 244 1638 13982 15149
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 190 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 17 56 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 77 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 110 44 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 160 143 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 155 1804 13989 15012
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 193 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 14 67 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 76 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 69 9 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 147 176 166 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 139 1769 13971 15012

Date: 2017-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 159 120 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 12 48 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 71 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 103 58 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 208 106 110 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 123 1398 12378 17089
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 159 129 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 61 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 84 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 93 91 16 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 181 132 139 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 102 1365 12345 17081

Date: 2017-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 134 117 51 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 17 58 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 98 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 88 42 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 114 274 116 23
VCDI 0 0 0 0 82 2172 12410 16225
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 135 120 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 14 35 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 84 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 57 90 50 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 126 279 144 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 73 2159 12380 16219

Date: 2017-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 68 172 75 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 14 55 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 68 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 18 63 58 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 131 363 131 7
VCDI 0 0 0 7 211 2078 14224 14292
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 68 165 39 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1 16 31 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 5 89 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 57 57 55 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 133 373 272 13
VCDI 0 0 0 7 211 2071 14075 14286

Date: 2017-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 88 153 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 33 29 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 22 83 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 0 50 46 7 7 0
CDI 0 1 0 27 151 161 49 12
VCDI 0 0 0 51 293 1806 14060 14885
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 87 141 33 2 0 0 0
OW 0 6 19 25 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 45 94 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 35 19 29 30 1
CDI 0 0 0 54 106 216 220 12
VCDI 0 0 0 33 342 1729 13866 14884


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