Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-04-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56950 21386 4578 1594 287 45 0 0
OW 52 26 87 515 441 85 6 0
VODI 0 2 31 340 445 277 67 0
ODI 0 1 5 172 366 484 110 0
CDI 0 0 1 73 395 843 551 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 308 1667 9375 7523
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53796 24526 4628 1746 336 61 0 0
OW 52 57 132 473 403 135 5 0
VODI 0 6 46 388 420 289 77 0
ODI 0 0 13 186 302 515 160 0
CDI 0 0 0 105 415 744 362 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 222 1837 9842 6806
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57047 21924 3836 1862 238 29 0 0
OW 52 16 129 623 268 18 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 497 572 151 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 130 621 473 43 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 452 1160 363 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 136 2390 9431 6577
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57186 21484 3742 2051 273 8 0 0
OW 52 19 119 635 340 24 0 0
VODI 0 2 38 398 684 203 7 0
ODI 0 0 1 136 619 532 92 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 525 1204 559 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 171 2616 8717 6629
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57186 21486 3733 2139 318 8 0 0
OW 52 17 138 595 336 28 0 0
VODI 0 2 26 340 673 238 11 0
ODI 0 0 3 136 562 506 105 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 523 1193 540 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 200 2614 8719 6629

Date: 2017-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58787 20090 3119 2097 378 12 0 0
OW 52 41 94 618 388 51 0 0
VODI 0 7 58 414 668 276 20 0
ODI 0 0 8 147 447 579 62 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 389 1312 543 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 208 2964 9104 6099
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58787 20083 3127 2178 403 13 0 0
OW 52 42 84 618 378 60 0 0
VODI 0 13 58 345 669 259 22 0
ODI 0 0 10 134 415 540 60 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 375 1328 565 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 238 2994 9082 6099

Date: 2017-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54031 21569 5987 2410 198 2 0 0
OW 52 15 49 719 235 11 0 0
VODI 0 2 20 577 605 63 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 83 885 355 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 449 1950 173 1
VCDI 0 0 0 11 112 3134 9722 5665
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54031 21523 5926 2540 369 24 0 0
OW 52 55 65 630 375 86 0 0
VODI 0 8 58 437 725 263 35 0
ODI 0 0 7 136 407 511 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 351 1164 283 2
VCDI 0 0 0 16 257 3467 9544 5664

Date: 2017-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56212 21355 4328 2136 340 3 0 0
OW 52 16 74 589 330 25 0 0
VODI 0 1 28 427 635 115 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 155 639 437 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 600 1376 188 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 214 3316 10441 4996
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56213 21345 4277 2258 583 54 0 0
OW 51 27 111 490 406 113 0 0
VODI 0 0 38 372 641 341 17 0
ODI 0 0 5 148 447 422 73 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 416 1299 261 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 265 3043 10298 4996

Date: 2017-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57539 20158 4314 2119 295 16 0 0
OW 51 51 136 517 332 14 0 0
VODI 0 5 80 352 699 134 24 0
ODI 0 0 32 172 600 453 51 0
CDI 0 0 11 113 495 1478 263 0
VCDI 0 0 0 78 315 3734 9337 5132
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57539 20139 4331 2208 754 143 0 0
OW 51 52 131 428 344 162 0 0
VODI 0 23 62 378 503 350 28 0
ODI 0 0 39 145 436 381 118 0
CDI 0 0 10 135 400 1254 337 0
VCDI 0 0 0 57 299 3539 9192 5132


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