Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-04-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 58 114 124 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 46 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 37 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 63 138 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 61 249 196 22
VCDI 0 0 0 13 84 1076 8067 21681
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 60 114 118 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 42 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 44 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 40 63 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 78 108 41 9
VCDI 0 0 0 1 45 817 5749 24701
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 134 175 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 39 24 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 26 70 24 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 48 57 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 96 138 36 19
VCDI 0 0 0 16 155 1403 4553 24966
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 154 121 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 21 21 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 14 54 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 110 29 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 102 91 108 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 120 1344 11513 18201
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 154 120 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 19 23 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 54 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 101 28 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 103 83 103 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 118 1353 11518 18197

Date: 2017-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 81 185 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 17 26 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 59 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 109 35 6 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 100 38 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 142 1319 11306 18557
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 82 184 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 17 23 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 64 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 100 34 7 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 104 45 46 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 137 1311 11291 18557

Date: 2017-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 161 188 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 14 63 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 141 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 74 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 169 86 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 189 1298 12007 17536
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 158 145 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 44 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 15 70 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 124 50 12 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 58 140 109 118 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 248 1267 11934 17536

Date: 2017-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 212 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 15 59 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 88 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 108 37 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 156 139 97 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 246 1836 13700 15215
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 117 174 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 39 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 14 59 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 107 14 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 116 186 150 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 312 1775 13647 15215

Date: 2017-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 138 156 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 11 56 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 67 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 66 26 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 173 147 116 14
VCDI 0 0 0 1 81 1657 12712 16500
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 137 130 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 28 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 65 3 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 104 26 25 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 126 141 197 25
VCDI 0 0 0 14 174 1663 12607 16489


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