Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-04-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56950 21444 4692 1718 288 45 0 0
OW 52 28 87 561 445 85 6 0
VODI 0 2 31 377 464 277 67 0
ODI 0 1 5 190 429 622 115 2
CDI 0 0 1 82 485 1216 964 78
VCDI 0 0 0 25 430 4320 29328 61136
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53796 24586 4742 1864 336 61 0 0
OW 52 59 132 515 407 135 5 0
VODI 0 6 46 432 444 289 77 0
ODI 0 0 13 226 375 579 176 1
CDI 0 0 0 114 573 1116 528 73
VCDI 0 0 0 16 617 6347 28013 60297
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57047 22058 4011 1886 238 29 0 0
OW 52 19 168 647 268 18 0 0
VODI 0 0 39 567 596 153 3 0
ODI 0 0 2 178 751 543 53 0
CDI 0 0 0 86 677 1513 508 42
VCDI 0 0 0 16 505 7386 26305 60684
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57186 21638 3863 2079 273 8 0 0
OW 52 20 140 656 340 24 0 0
VODI 0 2 52 452 698 204 7 0
ODI 0 0 1 246 688 583 117 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 710 1526 709 25
VCDI 0 0 0 2 367 6659 35817 51848
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57186 21640 3853 2169 318 8 0 0
OW 52 18 157 618 336 28 0 0
VODI 0 2 42 394 693 241 12 0
ODI 0 0 4 237 634 564 131 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 702 1548 696 24
VCDI 0 0 0 5 393 6615 35811 51849

Date: 2017-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58787 20171 3304 2121 378 12 0 0
OW 52 42 111 644 393 59 0 0
VODI 0 7 58 473 704 292 35 0
ODI 0 0 8 262 557 645 73 0
CDI 0 0 0 105 636 1616 656 43
VCDI 0 0 0 5 453 6904 36080 51362
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58787 20165 3311 2207 403 13 0 0
OW 52 42 101 641 380 68 0 0
VODI 0 13 59 409 708 274 38 0
ODI 0 0 10 240 537 627 72 0
CDI 0 0 0 103 624 1678 722 39
VCDI 0 0 0 10 469 6868 36012 51366

Date: 2017-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54031 21730 6175 2422 198 2 0 0
OW 52 15 63 782 237 17 0 0
VODI 0 3 22 727 694 99 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 144 1108 396 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 795 2357 300 1
VCDI 0 0 0 15 373 6943 39283 48026
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54031 21681 6071 2547 369 24 0 0
OW 52 58 109 643 392 115 0 0
VODI 0 9 73 507 801 290 39 0
ODI 0 0 7 275 571 576 49 0
CDI 0 0 0 123 637 1545 543 2
VCDI 0 0 0 29 635 7264 38956 48025

Date: 2017-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56212 21473 4540 2148 340 3 0 0
OW 52 16 89 648 339 38 1 0
VODI 0 1 28 515 681 166 1 0
ODI 0 0 1 263 825 514 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 72 955 1922 384 1
VCDI 0 0 0 10 562 7650 40615 45959
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56213 21462 4451 2266 583 54 0 0
OW 51 28 150 506 410 139 2 0
VODI 0 0 52 431 695 404 17 0
ODI 0 0 5 255 559 508 79 0
CDI 0 0 0 135 708 1802 587 71
VCDI 0 0 0 63 747 7386 40340 45889

Date: 2017-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57539 20296 4470 2137 295 16 0 0
OW 51 51 147 573 346 30 0 0
VODI 0 5 80 419 731 178 31 0
ODI 0 0 32 275 786 517 66 0
CDI 0 0 11 139 864 1913 500 14
VCDI 0 0 0 79 567 7156 36404 50330
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57539 20276 4461 2219 754 143 0 0
OW 51 53 159 443 360 198 4 0
VODI 0 23 71 443 535 395 35 0
ODI 0 0 39 252 537 465 164 0
CDI 0 0 10 194 731 1656 784 45
VCDI 0 0 0 71 672 6953 36014 50299


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