Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-03-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 326 191 50 0 0 0 0
OW 0 108 108 158 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 98 161 122 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 36 133 97 50 94 1
CDI 0 0 20 90 135 206 231 22
VCDI 0 0 1 90 290 1545 11129 16529
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 213 170 46 0 0 0 0
OW 0 26 144 212 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 83 200 129 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 51 114 97 80 22 0
CDI 0 0 15 89 118 250 241 24
VCDI 0 0 2 84 211 1444 12038 15941
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 299 424 115 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 75 192 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 35 238 90 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 97 146 50 65 6
CDI 0 0 0 52 126 268 216 24
VCDI 0 0 0 68 239 1755 11039 16441
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 236 279 99 2 0 0 0
OW 0 9 56 185 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 41 243 138 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 22 87 161 102 92 0
CDI 0 0 8 36 190 301 260 29
VCDI 0 0 1 39 323 1927 11887 15299
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 235 270 108 5 0 0 0
OW 0 10 60 129 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 34 298 156 8 0 0
ODI 0 2 33 77 115 108 95 0
CDI 0 0 10 38 176 296 267 25
VCDI 0 0 0 39 338 1923 11877 15303

Date: 2017-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 86 195 85 4 0 0 0
OW 0 1 8 233 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 6 173 98 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 21 70 278 86 34 0
CDI 0 0 6 66 97 315 288 22
VCDI 0 0 0 33 242 2377 10959 16287
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 86 194 97 4 0 0 0
OW 0 1 6 198 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 8 193 192 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 19 86 178 115 79 0
CDI 0 0 9 61 134 299 284 19
VCDI 0 0 0 25 213 2355 10918 16290

Date: 2017-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 91 165 93 9 1 0 0
OW 0 2 1 170 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 256 77 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 96 222 51 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 151 353 140 10
VCDI 0 0 0 4 110 1836 12020 16194
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 89 152 57 12 1 0 0
OW 0 4 12 61 3 2 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 251 34 6 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 156 200 117 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 127 266 277 15
VCDI 0 0 0 27 201 1853 11839 16189

Date: 2017-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 127 113 7 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 35 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 28 218 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 182 52 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 183 252 187 44
VCDI 0 0 0 9 89 1394 11388 17640
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 66 126 74 9 0 0 0
OW 0 3 1 37 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 41 50 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 289 130 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 219 321 262 29
VCDI 0 0 0 36 126 1252 11279 17655

Date: 2017-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 58 114 124 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 46 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 37 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 63 138 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 61 249 196 22
VCDI 0 0 0 13 84 1076 8067 21681
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 109 100 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1 5 41 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 43 23 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 44 140 6 48
CDI 0 0 0 15 52 408 123 208
VCDI 0 0 0 26 109 911 8134 21447


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