Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-03-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 140 34 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 13 25 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 34 11 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 59 22 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 104 130 23 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 70 646 7135 23442
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 82 196 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 18 23 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 40 7 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 40 8 16 1
CDI 0 0 0 35 75 94 170 83
VCDI 0 0 0 13 166 715 8808 21425
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 128 154 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 10 34 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 45 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 23 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 62 97 89 93
VCDI 0 0 0 1 70 416 5553 25211
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 227 104 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 23 23 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 83 25 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 83 47 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 145 29 21 94
VCDI 0 0 0 18 253 584 5538 24702
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 228 109 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 22 26 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 80 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 79 49 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 66 137 28 19 102
VCDI 0 0 0 17 260 588 5540 24694

Date: 2017-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 325 35 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 62 65 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 66 99 64 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 16 130 85 26 0 0
CDI 0 0 12 129 148 109 166 47
VCDI 0 0 0 80 290 1089 9866 19123
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 331 42 12 1 0 0 0
OW 0 25 69 77 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 60 99 63 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 127 86 23 3 0
CDI 0 0 6 126 144 94 160 45
VCDI 0 0 0 68 292 1108 9869 19125

Date: 2017-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 502 144 43 1 0 0 0
OW 0 17 120 142 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 28 239 122 4 3 0
ODI 0 0 11 96 209 65 78 0
CDI 0 0 4 48 213 233 172 35
VCDI 0 0 0 49 259 1883 12175 15181
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 365 53 52 2 0 0 0
OW 0 111 82 70 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 88 91 101 6 4 0
ODI 0 12 43 153 104 58 91 0
CDI 0 4 25 144 132 203 205 48
VCDI 0 0 16 107 438 1918 12128 15168

Date: 2017-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 459 92 59 0 0 0 0
OW 0 92 123 127 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 74 211 128 2 8 0
ODI 0 0 25 121 151 72 92 0
CDI 0 0 7 68 202 298 203 46
VCDI 0 0 0 68 273 1760 12583 14712
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 326 33 39 0 0 0 0
OW 0 153 69 112 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 90 85 104 10 0 0
ODI 0 4 87 130 95 82 98 0
CDI 0 0 34 143 138 296 223 31
VCDI 0 0 8 145 377 1744 12565 14727

Date: 2017-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 326 191 50 0 0 0 0
OW 0 108 108 158 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 98 161 122 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 36 133 97 50 94 1
CDI 0 0 20 90 135 206 231 22
VCDI 0 0 1 90 290 1545 11129 16529
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 274 105 80 14 0 0 0
OW 0 64 88 93 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 106 118 95 106 15 0 0
ODI 0 20 60 122 77 68 47 1
CDI 0 3 48 99 54 169 205 23
VCDI 0 0 35 193 364 1550 11202 16528


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