Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-03-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 325 35 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 14 12 0 1 0 0
VODI 0 6 32 20 13 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 38 41 41 18 0 0
CDI 0 0 63 42 41 100 75 14
VCDI 0 0 46 100 114 714 7907 22242
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 291 40 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 14 13 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 24 11 11 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 22 9 20 19 2 0
CDI 0 0 24 15 59 92 70 21
VCDI 0 0 4 128 97 566 8159 22338
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 140 163 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 22 15 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 18 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 26 27 22 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 45 184 99 46
VCDI 0 0 0 34 174 770 8978 21222
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 203 71 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 12 23 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 9 38 6 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 64 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 81 176 77 18
VCDI 0 0 0 0 103 775 10547 19785
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 202 72 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 11 22 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 39 10 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 59 16 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 78 177 94 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 108 775 10529 19791

Date: 2017-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 102 183 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 20 22 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 11 40 11 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 40 52 27 9 1
CDI 0 0 0 24 85 104 159 28
VCDI 0 0 0 4 149 758 8376 21847
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 102 183 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 18 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 13 44 10 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 41 46 24 17 1
CDI 0 0 0 26 86 92 152 43
VCDI 0 0 0 3 155 776 8375 21832

Date: 2017-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 126 150 41 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 6 32 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 40 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 30 14 0 2
CDI 0 0 0 4 57 99 141 65
VCDI 0 0 0 0 71 572 6489 24100
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 123 138 22 1 0 0 0
OW 0 3 14 23 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 4 33 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 37 9 7 9 2
CDI 0 0 0 26 48 57 137 114
VCDI 0 0 0 2 102 621 6484 24051

Date: 2017-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 122 162 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 6 45 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 44 8 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 48 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 157 81 13 135
VCDI 0 0 0 7 131 556 5552 24905
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 120 153 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 14 29 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 47 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 49 32 10 0 10
CDI 0 0 0 31 115 80 33 180
VCDI 0 0 0 19 194 560 5532 24850

Date: 2017-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 288 60 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 44 39 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 44 96 36 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 117 52 31 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 106 156 51 30 85
VCDI 0 0 0 47 297 869 7581 22026
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 277 35 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 24 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 42 28 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 37 60 19 0 0 8
CDI 0 0 13 146 47 33 23 135
VCDI 0 0 2 174 482 918 7589 21968


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