Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-03-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47188 26536 10529 1619 304 34 0 0
OW 51 47 189 662 278 46 0 0
VODI 0 12 85 499 496 123 0 0
ODI 0 0 30 264 538 268 4 0
CDI 0 0 8 176 569 810 55 0
VCDI 0 0 2 263 1181 4145 6995 5094
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49386 26083 7529 2670 344 86 0 0
OW 51 49 206 602 328 115 0 0
VODI 0 11 109 439 553 233 3 0
ODI 0 1 18 290 456 322 30 0
CDI 0 0 7 173 687 821 182 0
VCDI 0 0 3 152 1067 2567 8436 5091
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50279 25709 8330 1694 163 13 0 0
OW 51 12 131 722 290 36 0 0
VODI 0 6 21 476 641 144 1 0
ODI 0 0 1 160 907 387 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 89 775 1026 132 0
VCDI 0 0 0 71 856 3793 8094 4067
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55709 24862 3108 1666 351 25 0 0
OW 51 25 89 746 363 84 3 0
VODI 0 5 29 405 628 271 22 0
ODI 0 5 8 122 647 482 65 0
CDI 0 0 0 74 524 1229 275 0
VCDI 0 0 0 61 316 3774 8418 4658
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55709 24871 3115 1760 358 35 0 0
OW 51 17 88 642 366 79 5 0
VODI 0 6 27 418 568 229 21 0
ODI 0 3 4 130 644 475 66 0
CDI 0 0 0 69 571 1302 266 0
VCDI 0 0 0 55 322 3745 8425 4658

Date: 2017-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55209 22515 6019 1605 346 38 0 0
OW 52 28 69 812 321 125 1 0
VODI 0 5 9 509 625 224 33 0
ODI 0 0 0 142 637 378 76 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 577 1005 221 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 295 3089 8311 5768
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55209 22534 6031 1704 379 50 0 0
OW 52 9 63 728 306 113 4 0
VODI 0 5 3 494 563 238 44 0
ODI 0 0 0 144 643 359 79 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 604 1067 260 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 306 3032 8255 5768

Date: 2017-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55282 23504 4930 1549 224 35 0 0
OW 52 86 198 888 252 63 1 0
VODI 0 2 21 441 779 143 10 0
ODI 0 4 10 113 716 333 28 0
CDI 0 3 4 47 421 1320 295 0
VCDI 0 0 3 80 303 3124 8793 5043
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55283 23577 4979 1849 428 94 0 0
OW 51 10 121 605 439 123 4 0
VODI 0 5 26 357 592 293 42 0
ODI 0 3 20 123 494 422 142 0
CDI 0 0 12 76 372 1106 304 0
VCDI 0 4 8 108 370 2980 8635 5043

Date: 2017-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57139 23477 3426 1350 228 40 0 0
OW 51 78 178 816 328 66 6 0
VODI 0 2 5 411 664 233 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 146 425 525 66 0
CDI 0 0 0 83 449 729 388 0
VCDI 0 0 0 45 349 3097 9599 4697
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57139 23489 3392 1495 425 100 5 0
OW 51 48 211 601 348 155 3 0
VODI 0 16 6 428 529 378 23 0
ODI 0 4 0 177 392 539 175 0
CDI 0 0 0 95 420 628 286 0
VCDI 0 0 0 55 329 2890 9571 4697

Date: 2017-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54536 24337 5291 1416 251 48 0 0
OW 51 68 115 735 417 102 3 0
VODI 0 8 39 315 658 275 18 0
ODI 0 0 13 116 384 546 104 0
CDI 0 0 1 84 357 654 293 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 377 2730 9857 4874
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54536 24323 5203 1541 442 109 3 0
OW 51 70 184 536 396 168 11 0
VODI 0 12 65 369 501 362 85 0
ODI 0 8 7 153 372 481 184 0
CDI 0 0 0 76 368 518 221 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 365 2717 9771 4874


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