Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-03-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 176 169 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 33 16 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 21 33 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 34 13 0 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 54 13 49 58
VCDI 0 0 0 60 336 1083 8800 21034
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 292 51 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 43 21 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 73 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 9 30 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 41 127 42 13
VCDI 0 0 0 84 409 1585 10515 18585
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 320 55 15 2 0 0 0
OW 0 17 27 30 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 53 37 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 37 47 52 26 0 0
CDI 0 0 7 93 97 180 17 10
VCDI 0 0 0 79 206 1530 7730 21386
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 320 51 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 34 9 16 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 16 47 18 3 0 0
ODI 0 16 52 34 24 32 0 0
CDI 0 13 43 21 50 104 63 23
VCDI 0 2 51 99 132 831 8251 21683
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 319 54 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 32 6 10 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 14 43 15 3 0 0
ODI 0 13 39 44 27 32 0 0
CDI 0 12 43 16 58 109 63 23
VCDI 0 10 66 104 126 826 8251 21683

Date: 2017-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 307 36 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 7 13 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 18 14 6 3 0 0
ODI 0 12 13 11 29 21 0 0
CDI 0 3 35 54 51 126 39 34
VCDI 0 0 38 96 100 698 7556 22714
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 311 38 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 6 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 12 14 3 1 0 0
ODI 0 10 14 11 32 28 0 0
CDI 0 3 23 42 48 129 57 32
VCDI 0 0 54 108 104 690 7538 22716

Date: 2017-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 74 250 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 19 23 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 33 13 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 31 37 17 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 81 88 68 130
VCDI 0 0 0 3 87 386 7124 23547
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 72 237 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 22 16 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 19 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 21 27 7 0 5
CDI 0 0 1 22 43 68 138 111
VCDI 0 0 0 47 140 419 7055 23561

Date: 2017-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 95 176 42 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 12 25 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 35 12 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 25 53 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 36 290 76 21
VCDI 0 0 0 8 158 1014 10198 19755
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 95 169 29 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 15 27 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 29 10 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 18 50 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 32 282 122 16
VCDI 0 0 0 15 171 1026 10156 19760

Date: 2017-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 140 34 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 13 25 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 34 11 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 59 22 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 104 130 23 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 70 646 7135 23442
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 132 18 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 17 18 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 31 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 7 12 14 5
CDI 0 0 0 24 34 102 157 149
VCDI 0 0 0 8 198 688 6988 23312


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