Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-02-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 222 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 23 48 1 17 0 0
VODI 0 0 24 124 6 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 106 38 29 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 90 144 116 158 29
VCDI 0 0 0 34 560 2260 10032 17883
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 177 78 44 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 7 33 0 1 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 38 11 4 22 0
ODI 0 0 0 71 44 11 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 123 65 96 30
VCDI 0 0 0 2 162 1585 8377 21034
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 207 77 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 15 30 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 40 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 16 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 92 46 38 12
VCDI 0 0 0 2 166 1686 7667 21861
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 186 138 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 30 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 19 44 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 34 17 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 69 11 40 77
VCDI 0 0 0 28 265 1591 8003 21435
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 187 140 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 27 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 20 42 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 37 24 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 73 8 36 69
VCDI 0 0 0 24 252 1594 8007 21443

Date: 2017-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 322 28 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 34 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 36 34 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 49 5 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 75 43 75 57 31
VCDI 0 0 0 148 370 1031 9287 20395
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 324 32 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 31 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 36 35 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 53 11 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 101 49 80 59 29
VCDI 0 0 0 113 355 1029 9285 20397

Date: 2017-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 226 142 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 34 55 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 108 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 100 43 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 170 186 34 9
VCDI 0 0 0 13 198 1391 9456 19796
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 225 105 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 44 22 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 28 58 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 75 18 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 62 127 24 28
VCDI 0 0 0 98 339 1466 9466 19777

Date: 2017-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 353 21 8 1 0 0 0
OW 0 37 10 37 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 34 42 17 3 0 0
ODI 0 15 48 23 45 25 2 0
CDI 0 1 48 29 78 128 31 32
VCDI 0 0 18 113 144 1661 7675 21365
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 300 11 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 7 7 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 6 11 6 2 0 0
ODI 0 35 6 29 19 6 2 0
CDI 0 18 29 32 34 63 70 52
VCDI 0 7 120 172 232 1746 7636 21345

Date: 2017-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 325 35 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 14 12 0 1 0 0
VODI 0 6 32 20 13 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 38 41 41 18 0 0
CDI 0 0 63 42 41 100 75 14
VCDI 0 0 46 100 114 714 7907 22242
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 311 25 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 21 15 6 0 1 0 0
VODI 0 9 30 15 0 9 0 0
ODI 0 8 22 17 9 19 0 0
CDI 0 2 52 19 57 64 10 28
VCDI 0 0 84 161 143 743 7972 22228


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