Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-02-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51531 27625 6684 1525 261 21 6 0
OW 62 91 190 634 244 39 12 0
VODI 0 27 96 610 502 96 21 0
ODI 0 11 33 215 613 138 32 0
CDI 0 4 21 138 707 758 100 0
VCDI 0 0 22 118 873 5540 7347 2153
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 48918 26867 9356 1914 357 32 5 0
OW 62 103 216 566 337 56 8 0
VODI 0 69 116 618 482 179 10 0
ODI 0 20 57 304 546 244 16 0
CDI 0 12 31 115 600 861 97 0
VCDI 0 5 26 149 586 5099 6819 3242
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53492 20836 10188 1984 245 13 0 0
OW 63 50 88 661 302 21 1 0
VODI 0 26 50 498 623 76 6 0
ODI 0 12 47 366 903 166 17 0
CDI 0 0 26 157 710 758 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 92 555 5108 8251 2637
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50912 24502 9377 1597 234 17 0 0
OW 63 42 205 670 276 29 0 0
VODI 0 31 26 560 558 121 1 0
ODI 0 7 1 252 567 209 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 174 756 591 73 0
VCDI 0 0 0 187 684 4223 7901 4228
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50912 24498 9390 1607 266 19 0 0
OW 63 51 178 654 245 39 0 0
VODI 0 26 40 564 551 132 2 0
ODI 0 7 1 262 589 250 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 182 774 517 76 0
VCDI 0 0 0 171 650 4233 7886 4228

Date: 2017-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50827 25547 8474 1387 280 79 0 0
OW 64 12 115 735 354 80 0 0
VODI 0 1 12 519 560 217 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 158 567 285 36 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 589 493 73 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 590 4150 8296 4509
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50828 25541 8406 1442 335 110 0 0
OW 63 18 164 665 317 77 0 0
VODI 0 1 31 536 594 226 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 166 563 319 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 571 529 74 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 560 4043 8287 4509

Date: 2017-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50997 26289 7828 1351 150 22 0 0
OW 51 28 72 789 237 41 0 0
VODI 0 5 13 486 603 83 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 118 768 293 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 578 988 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 61 739 5184 8260 2988
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50997 26170 7664 1356 268 70 0 0
OW 51 112 168 590 298 64 0 0
VODI 0 30 69 548 564 269 2 0
ODI 0 7 12 192 545 328 11 0
CDI 0 3 0 71 557 791 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 95 843 5089 8239 2988

Date: 2017-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 48977 25711 10074 1396 186 2 0 0
OW 51 34 179 694 229 19 0 0
VODI 0 27 54 569 459 101 0 0
ODI 0 0 25 255 489 279 9 0
CDI 0 0 6 190 524 934 183 0
VCDI 0 0 6 201 1183 4630 6369 5055
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 48977 25611 9773 1367 303 24 0 0
OW 51 87 315 568 234 62 0 0
VODI 0 63 173 565 396 215 2 0
ODI 0 10 40 355 431 337 19 0
CDI 0 1 39 202 510 750 172 0
VCDI 0 0 4 248 1196 4577 6368 5055

Date: 2017-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47188 26536 10529 1619 304 34 0 0
OW 51 47 189 662 278 46 0 0
VODI 0 12 85 499 496 123 0 0
ODI 0 0 30 264 538 268 4 0
CDI 0 0 8 176 569 810 55 0
VCDI 0 0 2 263 1181 4145 6995 5094
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47188 26397 10254 1611 448 67 0 0
OW 51 144 216 472 302 102 0 0
VODI 0 45 237 475 436 194 1 0
ODI 0 9 86 309 373 331 11 0
CDI 0 0 42 277 552 625 78 0
VCDI 0 0 8 339 1255 4107 6964 5094


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