Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-02-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51925 26042 7470 1610 393 74 0 0
OW 62 30 155 514 272 50 1 0
VODI 0 2 82 401 451 125 6 0
ODI 0 0 53 200 466 224 13 0
CDI 0 0 25 203 571 825 117 0
VCDI 0 0 20 248 713 2937 8231 4589
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55236 21479 9162 1279 295 15 0 0
OW 63 51 189 572 194 57 0 0
VODI 0 20 88 494 344 97 4 0
ODI 0 8 60 243 464 152 8 0
CDI 0 3 29 190 727 458 36 0
VCDI 0 0 21 270 854 3040 8470 4428
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56513 21572 8065 1209 219 8 0 0
OW 62 49 148 656 184 30 0 0
VODI 0 15 79 679 336 103 6 0
ODI 0 1 34 288 555 155 21 0
CDI 0 1 11 197 601 454 33 0
VCDI 0 0 7 113 675 4439 7475 4107
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56073 25138 4608 1493 284 20 1 0
OW 62 60 147 645 204 48 9 0
VODI 0 15 95 573 497 109 18 0
ODI 0 2 28 229 604 127 26 0
CDI 0 0 14 171 588 849 52 0
VCDI 0 0 8 93 590 5412 7285 2923
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56073 25127 4601 1513 292 22 2 0
OW 62 68 148 601 208 36 3 0
VODI 0 17 99 578 495 120 21 0
ODI 0 3 28 232 566 154 23 0
CDI 0 0 17 171 598 844 57 0
VCDI 0 0 7 109 608 5389 7285 2923

Date: 2017-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49811 28867 6774 1953 294 21 7 0
OW 62 88 196 625 300 20 10 0
VODI 0 58 112 643 477 104 12 0
ODI 0 12 44 270 543 185 24 0
CDI 0 4 28 133 585 864 105 0
VCDI 0 1 24 135 606 5391 6983 2729
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49811 28829 6736 2018 295 18 7 0
OW 62 103 190 552 275 22 5 0
VODI 0 74 133 560 512 94 15 0
ODI 0 18 55 291 479 209 16 0
CDI 0 5 39 167 598 778 92 0
VCDI 0 1 25 171 646 5464 7006 2729

Date: 2017-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50594 24470 9737 1802 272 26 0 0
OW 62 42 201 692 300 33 3 0
VODI 0 13 196 751 592 99 9 0
ODI 0 2 18 249 855 198 13 0
CDI 0 0 7 76 517 1136 64 0
VCDI 0 0 0 70 357 4825 8679 2140
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50593 24412 9639 1975 463 61 7 0
OW 63 65 205 455 327 77 4 0
VODI 0 35 151 484 556 179 5 0
ODI 0 15 88 368 525 253 12 0
CDI 0 0 49 174 528 702 60 0
VCDI 0 0 27 184 494 5045 8680 2140

Date: 2017-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53822 22024 8690 1836 288 21 0 0
OW 63 64 124 657 298 31 0 0
VODI 0 14 38 546 562 109 2 0
ODI 0 1 12 303 681 181 21 0
CDI 0 1 10 239 813 696 60 0
VCDI 0 0 6 141 556 4553 7915 3722
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53822 21982 8674 1943 457 53 0 0
OW 63 73 110 545 381 66 6 0
VODI 0 35 48 415 547 181 15 0
ODI 0 13 18 301 541 230 27 0
CDI 0 1 11 257 719 700 88 0
VCDI 0 0 19 261 553 4361 7862 3722

Date: 2017-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 48397 25289 11168 1507 242 51 0 0
OW 63 22 186 687 337 52 0 0
VODI 0 2 21 576 548 156 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 209 556 252 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 107 600 475 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 90 880 4284 7999 4278
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 48397 25251 11117 1537 453 102 0 0
OW 63 57 207 593 376 123 0 0
VODI 0 4 47 477 486 245 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 273 426 256 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 149 646 576 85 0
VCDI 0 0 0 147 776 3968 7970 4278


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