Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-02-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 107 378 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 73 77 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 50 134 50 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 47 399 136 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 87 425 271 108 28 80
VCDI 0 0 0 251 898 2932 8583 16904
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 79 273 76 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 55 67 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 40 149 63 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 74 381 182 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 55 357 254 125 23 0
VCDI 0 0 43 201 632 2177 8982 17765
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 237 291 84 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 131 276 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 178 326 61 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 190 222 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 298 177 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 369 1893 7267 19916
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 182 89 106 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 25 61 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 21 93 333 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 298 66 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 347 249 41 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 111 1634 7734 20525
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 182 88 115 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 24 54 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 23 82 266 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 395 70 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 322 266 44 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 110 1608 7729 20529

Date: 2017-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 158 109 68 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1 16 73 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 15 108 33 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 91 169 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 344 236 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 437 1397 5878 22845
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 159 106 67 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 18 71 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 112 36 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 92 162 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 355 277 73 2
VCDI 0 0 0 10 430 1343 5849 22843

Date: 2017-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 304 221 66 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 33 93 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 123 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 299 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 382 209 59 27
VCDI 0 0 0 7 215 1649 8192 20071
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 286 102 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 80 54 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 76 109 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 97 54 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 368 188 64 36
VCDI 0 0 0 24 482 1673 8187 20062

Date: 2017-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 292 181 65 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 51 88 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 20 117 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 107 171 19 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 340 268 112 17
VCDI 0 0 0 17 360 2608 11098 16062
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 268 77 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 26 78 46 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 81 96 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 17 105 70 32 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 98 347 209 68 12
VCDI 0 0 0 71 464 2654 11145 16067

Date: 2017-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 183 179 85 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 47 89 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 23 130 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 99 62 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 196 309 25 79
VCDI 0 0 0 21 356 2616 7489 20009
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 183 147 55 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 61 72 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 35 144 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 100 69 8 23 0
CDI 0 0 1 59 188 123 77 43
VCDI 0 0 0 53 339 2810 7414 20045


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