Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-02-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
CDI 0 0 0 0 3 153 68 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 2118 13123 30341
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 22 4 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 71 175 107 7
VCDI 0 0 0 11 194 1973 12850 30430
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 9 0 0 28 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 5 23 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 27 149 115 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 146 1529 11015 32761
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 17 0 15 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 7 16 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 19 187 72 4
VCDI 0 0 0 35 143 1562 12199 31508
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 18 0 13 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 6 17 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 20 191 62 7
VCDI 0 0 0 35 143 1559 12211 31505

Date: 2017-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 15 1 0 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 6 24 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 18 96 204 31
VCDI 0 0 0 32 190 840 10309 33991
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 18 1 0 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 7 29 53 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 28 103 230 24
VCDI 0 0 0 23 179 828 10284 33998

Date: 2017-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 6 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 11 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 55 9 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 174 671 5616 39261
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 10 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 30 14 43 2
VCDI 0 0 0 13 201 666 5582 39259

Date: 2017-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 11 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 39 59 26 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 194 809 8058 36664
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 10 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 27 69 44 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 207 799 8040 36656

Date: 2017-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 8 19 4 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 85 841 9020 35886
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 10 75 37 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 85 785 8987 35878


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