Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-01-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52719 22412 11170 2259 260 84 0 0
OW 60 100 313 862 243 19 0 0
VODI 0 196 284 1014 566 41 0 0
ODI 0 62 145 757 886 195 16 0
CDI 0 0 32 259 1415 1402 186 58
VCDI 0 0 11 282 1897 9348 29518 47977
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50773 26481 10063 1410 181 37 0 0
OW 60 78 206 818 181 16 0 0
VODI 0 24 151 899 531 39 0 0
ODI 0 36 159 667 659 208 27 0
CDI 0 0 88 394 1178 923 311 45
VCDI 0 0 10 183 1070 7642 27779 53721
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51555 25143 10636 1797 132 17 0 0
OW 60 29 132 914 167 10 0 0
VODI 0 2 47 837 525 30 0 0
ODI 0 1 13 331 1025 121 9 2
CDI 0 0 0 120 1293 971 196 37
VCDI 0 0 0 123 1022 8413 28137 53201
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52671 23653 10847 1770 153 1 0 0
OW 60 70 294 667 184 26 0 0
VODI 0 45 148 725 400 101 0 0
ODI 0 27 47 876 529 183 2 2
CDI 0 10 66 611 763 644 146 165
VCDI 0 0 27 346 1751 8996 26693 53349
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52671 23632 10868 1843 123 0 0 0
OW 60 98 262 668 199 14 0 0
VODI 0 44 161 768 417 95 0 0
ODI 0 23 52 772 527 163 2 2
CDI 0 8 63 582 737 661 133 189
VCDI 0 0 23 362 1777 9018 26706 53325

Date: 2017-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52801 27131 7334 1345 170 21 0 0
OW 60 103 308 713 245 27 0 0
VODI 0 31 159 677 503 100 14 0
ODI 0 9 120 697 641 193 38 2
CDI 0 2 121 670 875 679 237 66
VCDI 0 0 98 581 1590 7503 30731 50453
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52801 27120 7356 1397 198 19 0 0
OW 60 126 282 698 241 22 0 0
VODI 0 24 184 668 490 95 12 0
ODI 0 6 119 700 669 175 36 4
CDI 0 0 133 574 798 760 270 88
VCDI 0 0 66 646 1628 7452 30702 50429

Date: 2017-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51006 27475 8621 1610 218 41 0 0
OW 60 53 326 962 222 29 0 0
VODI 0 6 112 1092 573 62 4 0
ODI 0 0 32 431 1075 209 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 188 1047 909 225 15
VCDI 0 0 0 104 1004 5997 29375 53939
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51006 27337 8133 1477 311 58 0 0
OW 60 112 345 673 268 42 0 0
VODI 0 54 175 682 547 103 7 0
ODI 0 30 157 666 677 317 38 4
CDI 0 1 185 510 900 687 222 18
VCDI 0 0 96 379 1436 6040 29363 53932

Date: 2017-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47822 24921 13414 1535 341 51 6 0
OW 61 43 208 761 269 21 7 0
VODI 0 8 166 786 616 75 20 0
ODI 0 0 45 529 811 234 56 0
CDI 0 0 10 278 853 1137 245 71
VCDI 0 0 12 233 1218 6780 26251 57154
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47822 24798 13251 1536 498 70 13 0
OW 61 116 245 617 320 59 8 0
VODI 0 50 141 674 676 160 18 0
ODI 0 6 122 552 698 362 34 4
CDI 0 2 61 380 688 1052 211 81
VCDI 0 0 35 363 1228 6595 26301 57140

Date: 2017-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51925 26240 7535 1699 395 74 0 0
OW 62 30 164 576 292 50 1 0
VODI 0 2 91 510 592 143 22 0
ODI 0 0 54 258 812 352 50 0
CDI 0 0 25 230 951 1328 235 17
VCDI 0 0 20 276 1003 5823 25316 59895
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51924 26188 7289 1596 465 83 0 0
OW 63 79 302 474 314 67 3 0
VODI 0 5 151 544 441 231 17 0
ODI 0 0 72 304 662 354 35 1
CDI 0 0 37 227 972 1107 258 107
VCDI 0 0 38 404 1191 5928 25311 59804


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh to. 31. mai 01:42:13 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy