Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-01-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 455 132 99 21 0 0 0
OW 0 43 106 121 36 3 0 0
VODI 0 42 164 225 45 26 0 0
ODI 0 21 103 214 65 63 0 0
CDI 0 21 157 271 173 193 39 73
VCDI 0 0 39 206 823 2939 6615 18549
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 474 143 87 1 0 0 0
OW 0 57 166 99 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 166 222 73 5 0 0
ODI 0 35 105 231 85 62 1 0
CDI 0 23 147 262 197 195 65 43
VCDI 0 0 16 279 768 2809 7823 17294
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 464 534 152 0 0 0 0
OW 0 121 253 370 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 123 407 137 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 129 243 42 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 96 283 399 63 42
VCDI 0 0 0 55 754 2489 8226 16625
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 469 337 53 0 0 0 0
OW 0 209 244 245 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 407 518 49 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 20 422 296 60 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 199 463 355 108 58
VCDI 0 0 0 152 997 2214 7664 16444
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 521 377 65 0 0 0 0
OW 0 165 248 151 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 357 577 47 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 25 435 259 60 6 0
CDI 0 0 1 204 481 339 97 59
VCDI 0 0 0 157 1018 2227 7676 16443

Date: 2017-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 491 170 52 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 127 134 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 212 295 96 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 209 446 234 71 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 180 373 399 166 24
VCDI 0 0 0 40 668 2726 10351 14477
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 489 192 60 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 150 125 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 211 292 94 4 0 0
ODI 0 27 162 492 180 76 15 0
CDI 0 0 3 135 425 379 164 24
VCDI 0 0 0 43 675 2737 10354 14477

Date: 2017-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 396 179 147 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 145 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 435 61 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 246 395 36 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 395 636 164 28
VCDI 0 0 0 31 132 2529 9578 16516
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 389 146 92 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 22 117 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 12 209 35 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 223 205 84 15 0
CDI 0 0 1 318 395 348 199 20
VCDI 0 0 0 59 349 2754 9538 16524

Date: 2017-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 327 307 54 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 46 110 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 24 155 48 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 271 321 0 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 178 479 108 146 39
VCDI 0 0 0 57 420 2265 8900 17815
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 323 225 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 70 72 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 49 105 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 26 105 139 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 12 189 365 151 123 32
VCDI 0 0 0 329 751 2220 8930 17822

Date: 2017-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 107 378 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 73 77 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 50 134 50 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 47 399 136 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 87 425 271 108 28 80
VCDI 0 0 0 251 898 2932 8583 16904
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 107 363 38 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 71 57 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 55 128 29 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 24 193 149 19 1 0
CDI 0 0 38 337 214 117 58 2
VCDI 0 0 84 581 958 2918 8552 16982


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