Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-01-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 90 368 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 64 40 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 34 103 82 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 15 70 176 26 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 66 261 191 29 29
VCDI 0 0 0 33 236 3041 8011 19071
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 314 170 48 3 0 0 0
OW 0 18 98 27 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 152 178 28 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 130 249 79 28 0 0
CDI 0 0 35 371 122 201 48 12
VCDI 0 0 85 384 1039 4674 10838 12726
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 218 519 85 4 0 0 0
OW 0 18 109 113 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 180 314 52 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 150 380 74 49 0 0
CDI 0 0 11 230 267 247 11 15
VCDI 0 0 0 55 542 3738 7318 17369
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 508 104 73 15 0 0 0
OW 0 59 80 104 20 2 0 0
VODI 0 38 184 172 37 12 0 0
ODI 0 25 118 215 67 34 4 0
CDI 0 13 135 318 189 160 52 95
VCDI 0 0 15 204 774 3253 7374 17629
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 517 113 76 8 0 0 0
OW 0 59 70 96 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 175 174 38 18 0 0
ODI 0 25 137 237 67 38 5 0
CDI 0 12 122 268 167 149 60 102
VCDI 0 0 19 235 796 3256 7365 17622

Date: 2017-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 455 156 92 10 0 0 0
OW 0 44 127 103 63 2 0 0
VODI 0 29 163 249 60 27 0 0
ODI 0 9 97 247 67 82 0 0
CDI 0 3 79 386 183 216 31 57
VCDI 0 0 8 239 864 2814 6179 18941
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 461 156 95 18 0 0 0
OW 0 37 102 78 37 5 0 0
VODI 0 31 167 187 64 36 0 0
ODI 0 7 108 273 61 68 0 0
CDI 0 4 87 350 144 212 30 44
VCDI 0 0 10 333 923 2820 6180 18954

Date: 2017-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 664 441 113 0 0 0 0
OW 0 142 225 321 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 55 435 144 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 97 233 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 71 271 371 82 14
VCDI 0 0 0 58 579 2775 8006 16875
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 462 150 83 2 0 0 0
OW 0 54 71 81 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 127 186 116 80 4 0 0
ODI 0 94 110 175 83 27 0 0
CDI 0 62 150 268 157 163 74 16
VCDI 0 16 62 372 936 2996 8014 16873

Date: 2017-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 736 241 64 0 0 0 0
OW 0 241 326 267 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 347 489 71 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 17 222 235 50 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 183 367 272 65 51
VCDI 0 0 0 153 992 2552 7271 16813
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 472 120 55 0 0 0 0
OW 0 122 30 77 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 246 241 144 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 120 185 204 96 5 0 0
CDI 0 65 196 276 249 98 55 63
VCDI 0 5 160 622 1295 2772 7281 16801

Date: 2017-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 470 211 51 0 0 0 0
OW 0 75 172 168 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 194 194 497 56 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 84 440 341 55 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 544 442 132 31
VCDI 0 0 0 103 861 2552 9964 14260
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 415 89 49 1 0 0 0
OW 0 38 94 64 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 172 234 196 60 3 0 0
ODI 0 129 119 255 137 33 0 0
CDI 0 47 117 371 335 179 66 24
VCDI 0 0 8 426 1251 2834 10045 14267


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