Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2016-12-29
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-12-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
56309 |
27746 |
6932 |
1207 |
234 |
101 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
60 |
472 |
196 |
348 |
113 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
197 |
166 |
360 |
215 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
42 |
122 |
230 |
216 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
57 |
46 |
185 |
302 |
121 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
71 |
70 |
184 |
631 |
4527 |
6597 |
978 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
55987 |
25794 |
8862 |
1052 |
227 |
52 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
52 |
441 |
152 |
432 |
201 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
312 |
154 |
310 |
225 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
66 |
232 |
265 |
210 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
20 |
79 |
207 |
282 |
112 |
7 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
6 |
82 |
215 |
659 |
4146 |
7323 |
820 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
53645 |
30552 |
7137 |
1000 |
151 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
54 |
53 |
217 |
641 |
190 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
23 |
103 |
466 |
352 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
23 |
300 |
346 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
103 |
453 |
118 |
7 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
562 |
4009 |
8015 |
426 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
55697 |
25351 |
9573 |
1057 |
186 |
65 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
23 |
320 |
487 |
117 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
8 |
153 |
490 |
518 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
37 |
304 |
505 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
1 |
250 |
656 |
195 |
7 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
687 |
4192 |
7380 |
631 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
55697 |
25352 |
9637 |
1100 |
189 |
66 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
22 |
273 |
440 |
108 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
8 |
139 |
533 |
496 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
34 |
311 |
523 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
6 |
1 |
204 |
610 |
180 |
4 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
743 |
4223 |
7383 |
631 |
|
Date: 2016-12-31:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
54146 |
26065 |
10425 |
676 |
147 |
106 |
24 |
0 |
| OW |
54 |
47 |
503 |
464 |
19 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
12 |
198 |
779 |
126 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
30 |
553 |
303 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
398 |
594 |
83 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
166 |
1077 |
3647 |
7004 |
1399 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
54146 |
26074 |
10532 |
749 |
144 |
102 |
24 |
0 |
| OW |
54 |
41 |
400 |
440 |
16 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
9 |
198 |
723 |
111 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
28 |
556 |
312 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
430 |
603 |
92 |
3 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
138 |
1080 |
3648 |
7003 |
1399 |
|
Date: 2017-01-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
57844 |
27743 |
4544 |
1191 |
227 |
105 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
58 |
19 |
73 |
828 |
94 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
23 |
645 |
385 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
217 |
872 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
736 |
533 |
3 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
439 |
2185 |
8753 |
1401 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
57843 |
27707 |
4269 |
1049 |
250 |
112 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
59 |
55 |
234 |
628 |
92 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
115 |
556 |
357 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
352 |
527 |
60 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
276 |
686 |
273 |
7 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
107 |
841 |
2435 |
8749 |
1401 |
|
Date: 2017-01-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
57668 |
24892 |
6474 |
1732 |
353 |
104 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
57 |
25 |
100 |
477 |
233 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
4 |
26 |
447 |
423 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
234 |
519 |
140 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
147 |
686 |
515 |
3 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
769 |
3171 |
8263 |
1506 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
57666 |
24840 |
6258 |
1435 |
325 |
106 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
59 |
73 |
204 |
564 |
186 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
6 |
119 |
423 |
450 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
266 |
527 |
164 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
4 |
202 |
621 |
414 |
20 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
213 |
874 |
3257 |
8246 |
1506 |
|
Date: 2017-01-06:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
49065 |
24283 |
16234 |
994 |
210 |
136 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
58 |
23 |
242 |
633 |
45 |
25 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
91 |
694 |
225 |
21 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
362 |
469 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
243 |
676 |
155 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
138 |
1331 |
4097 |
6850 |
1750 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
49065 |
24145 |
15894 |
903 |
210 |
130 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
58 |
125 |
397 |
510 |
71 |
14 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
35 |
208 |
603 |
244 |
32 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
65 |
410 |
381 |
51 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
14 |
336 |
459 |
153 |
3 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
302 |
1591 |
4082 |
6849 |
1750 |
|
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