Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain
Bulletin date: 2016-12-29
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-12-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
56309 |
28287 |
7782 |
1370 |
304 |
101 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
60 |
527 |
559 |
772 |
303 |
74 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
373 |
647 |
821 |
555 |
303 |
66 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
154 |
481 |
551 |
578 |
427 |
21 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
100 |
334 |
448 |
760 |
969 |
112 |
10 |
| VCDI |
0 |
94 |
543 |
1000 |
2304 |
13198 |
31407 |
34335 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
55987 |
26534 |
9244 |
1170 |
227 |
52 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
52 |
548 |
238 |
668 |
253 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
414 |
301 |
577 |
671 |
245 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
152 |
519 |
503 |
613 |
607 |
16 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
153 |
460 |
435 |
649 |
1179 |
74 |
31 |
| VCDI |
0 |
60 |
619 |
1188 |
1676 |
11649 |
30393 |
38814 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
53645 |
31146 |
7659 |
1302 |
183 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
54 |
77 |
289 |
781 |
243 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
41 |
198 |
715 |
494 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
16 |
106 |
573 |
627 |
95 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
9 |
85 |
639 |
1163 |
1359 |
80 |
16 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
41 |
554 |
1947 |
12415 |
25748 |
44648 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
55700 |
25894 |
9729 |
1370 |
248 |
67 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
65 |
371 |
600 |
208 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
18 |
183 |
611 |
624 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
13 |
62 |
369 |
636 |
182 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
6 |
18 |
391 |
1033 |
945 |
201 |
22 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
363 |
2625 |
13416 |
29073 |
41861 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
55700 |
25891 |
9798 |
1428 |
260 |
68 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
65 |
320 |
555 |
191 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
20 |
171 |
653 |
604 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
13 |
62 |
369 |
667 |
155 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
7 |
16 |
331 |
980 |
961 |
155 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
368 |
2672 |
13431 |
29119 |
41874 |
|
Date: 2016-12-31:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
54146 |
26488 |
10551 |
872 |
212 |
106 |
24 |
0 |
| OW |
54 |
57 |
545 |
555 |
125 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
15 |
248 |
881 |
279 |
56 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
70 |
623 |
456 |
93 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
42 |
432 |
800 |
610 |
133 |
41 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
310 |
2862 |
13199 |
30108 |
42022 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
54146 |
26493 |
10650 |
958 |
236 |
102 |
24 |
0 |
| OW |
54 |
55 |
446 |
523 |
111 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
12 |
251 |
861 |
274 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
66 |
594 |
470 |
96 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
44 |
460 |
815 |
581 |
156 |
32 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
277 |
2828 |
13243 |
30085 |
42031 |
|
Date: 2017-01-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
57846 |
28139 |
4652 |
1319 |
262 |
105 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
58 |
26 |
114 |
1010 |
217 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
45 |
783 |
579 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
279 |
1186 |
150 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
132 |
1091 |
1165 |
29 |
35 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
1255 |
12562 |
27110 |
46773 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
57845 |
28074 |
4328 |
1177 |
357 |
115 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
59 |
78 |
263 |
729 |
229 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
11 |
150 |
670 |
520 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
40 |
452 |
701 |
120 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
33 |
335 |
1035 |
744 |
120 |
17 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
233 |
1748 |
12954 |
27019 |
46791 |
|
Date: 2017-01-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
57671 |
25231 |
6553 |
1815 |
364 |
104 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
57 |
25 |
116 |
600 |
307 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
4 |
34 |
596 |
584 |
127 |
3 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
301 |
717 |
265 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
208 |
867 |
1074 |
20 |
52 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
1093 |
11510 |
28001 |
48623 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
57669 |
25153 |
6303 |
1478 |
359 |
124 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
59 |
87 |
221 |
658 |
310 |
73 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
16 |
139 |
568 |
552 |
134 |
3 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
31 |
351 |
670 |
304 |
0 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
13 |
263 |
796 |
861 |
107 |
82 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
297 |
1245 |
11611 |
27914 |
48592 |
|
Date: 2017-01-06:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
49065 |
24373 |
16602 |
1024 |
210 |
136 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
58 |
23 |
306 |
704 |
52 |
25 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
125 |
822 |
377 |
49 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
26 |
442 |
758 |
90 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
323 |
1172 |
560 |
47 |
30 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
172 |
1831 |
12028 |
28470 |
47135 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
49065 |
24232 |
16141 |
942 |
210 |
138 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
58 |
128 |
462 |
573 |
141 |
37 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
35 |
273 |
678 |
487 |
107 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
116 |
455 |
573 |
137 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
55 |
475 |
789 |
458 |
91 |
8 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
16 |
364 |
2200 |
12011 |
28422 |
47157 |
|
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