Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55732 27757 9190 698 129 23 0 0
OW 34 16 117 544 67 9 0 0
VODI 0 7 29 451 206 6 0 0
ODI 0 3 7 219 277 26 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 97 440 83 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 53 707 4578 6163 1432
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57609 25543 9030 724 139 25 0 0
OW 29 50 189 373 48 16 0 0
VODI 0 17 73 467 196 9 0 0
ODI 0 4 13 275 286 22 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 175 409 113 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 90 1048 4904 6763 460
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56681 27812 7395 1218 265 59 0 0
OW 42 17 46 316 134 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 15 273 271 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 174 374 93 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 130 443 237 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 46 683 4191 7522 632
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62260 26296 3308 1078 190 56 0 0
OW 43 42 112 319 143 11 0 0
VODI 0 1 58 299 277 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 184 321 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 144 437 198 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 85 669 4578 7633 295
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62260 26303 3307 1080 200 55 0 0
OW 43 35 113 319 131 12 0 0
VODI 0 1 53 294 271 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 16 181 328 33 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 148 430 190 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 87 677 4585 7633 295

Date: 2016-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56543 27619 7440 1163 204 59 0 0
OW 44 52 164 405 90 3 0 0
VODI 0 1 94 421 188 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 280 245 27 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 200 378 95 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 90 1030 3575 6229 2440
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56543 27602 7440 1183 223 59 0 0
OW 44 68 173 385 93 3 0 0
VODI 0 2 86 414 150 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 13 268 247 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 217 360 110 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 92 1062 3563 6229 2440

Date: 2016-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52867 28062 11050 1061 182 99 2 0
OW 47 41 110 572 61 15 0 0
VODI 0 4 29 529 204 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 223 304 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 91 519 155 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 73 567 4394 6087 1687
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52867 27973 10727 892 190 103 2 0
OW 47 89 249 389 72 17 0 0
VODI 0 45 124 455 125 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 60 340 184 53 0 0
CDI 0 0 29 245 377 117 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 228 889 4410 6086 1687

Date: 2016-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55216 29261 7039 1128 225 107 28 0
OW 52 241 245 341 94 16 0 0
VODI 0 55 222 370 171 16 0 0
ODI 0 11 102 236 203 36 0 0
CDI 0 2 64 218 353 59 2 0
VCDI 0 0 103 231 730 5438 6187 298
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55216 28997 6879 1060 223 116 28 0
OW 52 263 241 301 81 14 0 0
VODI 0 158 190 334 151 20 0 0
ODI 0 106 129 270 202 32 0 0
CDI 0 31 122 221 321 66 4 0
VCDI 0 15 214 338 798 5424 6185 298

Date: 2016-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56309 27746 6932 1207 234 101 7 0
OW 60 472 196 348 113 22 0 0
VODI 0 197 166 360 215 7 0 0
ODI 0 42 122 230 216 28 0 0
CDI 0 57 46 185 302 121 1 0
VCDI 0 71 70 184 631 4527 6597 978
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56309 27503 6828 1167 242 113 7 0
OW 60 272 210 365 111 11 0 0
VODI 0 252 130 236 221 18 0 0
ODI 0 180 52 219 228 35 0 0
CDI 0 148 79 210 299 119 3 0
VCDI 0 230 233 317 610 4510 6595 978


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