Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector
Bulletin date: 2016-12-15
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-12-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
1816 |
617 |
262 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
138 |
180 |
281 |
38 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
41 |
145 |
250 |
141 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
97 |
186 |
187 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
228 |
223 |
167 |
37 |
38 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
191 |
448 |
2147 |
12205 |
11923 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
1110 |
790 |
252 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
83 |
108 |
333 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
61 |
57 |
463 |
154 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
52 |
174 |
157 |
83 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
165 |
316 |
245 |
73 |
81 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
409 |
1971 |
12130 |
12718 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
1028 |
876 |
294 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
48 |
96 |
230 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
31 |
25 |
286 |
206 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
9 |
7 |
91 |
319 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
0 |
88 |
314 |
186 |
20 |
80 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
221 |
1824 |
8555 |
17174 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
1052 |
409 |
244 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
43 |
92 |
237 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
3 |
71 |
221 |
127 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
126 |
213 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
99 |
257 |
215 |
14 |
79 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
284 |
2221 |
8160 |
17771 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
1054 |
412 |
247 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
42 |
67 |
227 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
78 |
215 |
125 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
25 |
117 |
212 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
94 |
244 |
198 |
13 |
77 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
293 |
2233 |
8161 |
17773 |
|
Date: 2016-12-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
627 |
497 |
297 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
16 |
32 |
270 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
256 |
141 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
84 |
282 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
374 |
130 |
15 |
32 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
335 |
1507 |
5991 |
21105 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
630 |
504 |
315 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
13 |
32 |
256 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
230 |
168 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
91 |
255 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
348 |
134 |
27 |
32 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
348 |
1499 |
5979 |
21105 |
|
Date: 2016-12-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
595 |
599 |
373 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
17 |
287 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
204 |
168 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
318 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
407 |
215 |
12 |
35 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
247 |
2374 |
8472 |
17640 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
579 |
529 |
216 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
16 |
70 |
222 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
298 |
97 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
147 |
199 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
372 |
113 |
32 |
31 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
474 |
2469 |
8452 |
17644 |
|
Date: 2016-12-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
475 |
960 |
178 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
63 |
165 |
169 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
23 |
179 |
259 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
91 |
320 |
64 |
10 |
5 |
4 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
29 |
389 |
196 |
69 |
86 |
69 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
495 |
1407 |
3437 |
11701 |
11170 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
424 |
803 |
180 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
66 |
158 |
97 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
52 |
184 |
187 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
11 |
141 |
239 |
55 |
16 |
9 |
4 |
| CDI |
0 |
15 |
62 |
332 |
159 |
61 |
98 |
44 |
| VCDI |
0 |
10 |
94 |
775 |
1432 |
3439 |
11685 |
11195 |
|
Date: 2016-12-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
541 |
846 |
71 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
55 |
293 |
76 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
176 |
433 |
198 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
112 |
359 |
219 |
35 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
43 |
288 |
222 |
184 |
86 |
68 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
23 |
473 |
801 |
1349 |
3787 |
11636 |
9690 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
531 |
826 |
104 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
79 |
234 |
67 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
106 |
212 |
169 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
60 |
192 |
156 |
85 |
6 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
64 |
204 |
194 |
173 |
88 |
33 |
3 |
| VCDI |
0 |
110 |
1024 |
897 |
1292 |
3780 |
11669 |
9696 |
|
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