Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2016-12-15
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-12-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
3330 |
2683 |
1237 |
305 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
155 |
96 |
543 |
325 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
24 |
84 |
297 |
318 |
117 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
34 |
93 |
272 |
206 |
3 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
88 |
346 |
630 |
48 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
461 |
3059 |
9522 |
21472 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
1956 |
2498 |
1330 |
490 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
83 |
148 |
482 |
650 |
146 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
44 |
10 |
308 |
502 |
387 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
3 |
98 |
192 |
404 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
11 |
141 |
860 |
80 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
366 |
2705 |
8850 |
23077 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
2085 |
1495 |
892 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
93 |
144 |
781 |
244 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
28 |
84 |
496 |
807 |
124 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
0 |
179 |
635 |
257 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
359 |
1078 |
94 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
492 |
3581 |
6373 |
25433 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
686 |
1035 |
1532 |
153 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
16 |
164 |
619 |
580 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
7 |
39 |
313 |
951 |
276 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
183 |
750 |
386 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
136 |
462 |
793 |
94 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
615 |
4200 |
10363 |
21458 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
696 |
1114 |
1609 |
222 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
9 |
90 |
505 |
470 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
4 |
34 |
377 |
995 |
302 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
173 |
761 |
356 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
116 |
440 |
707 |
89 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
623 |
4280 |
10368 |
21458 |
|
Date: 2016-12-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
551 |
602 |
926 |
582 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
74 |
169 |
585 |
542 |
81 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
11 |
68 |
432 |
590 |
210 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
191 |
805 |
394 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
241 |
707 |
871 |
50 |
13 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
574 |
4180 |
8262 |
24080 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
586 |
654 |
1043 |
597 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
40 |
115 |
465 |
528 |
107 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
9 |
70 |
434 |
553 |
146 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
18 |
207 |
815 |
427 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
228 |
703 |
835 |
82 |
18 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
604 |
4222 |
8230 |
24075 |
|
Date: 2016-12-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
462 |
585 |
425 |
108 |
87 |
25 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
67 |
507 |
130 |
152 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
477 |
417 |
208 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
920 |
462 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
828 |
1913 |
95 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
206 |
4171 |
9101 |
24368 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
365 |
412 |
530 |
338 |
385 |
26 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
70 |
147 |
311 |
180 |
380 |
17 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
23 |
77 |
371 |
302 |
636 |
22 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
16 |
177 |
491 |
479 |
22 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
132 |
725 |
1063 |
102 |
3 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
573 |
4050 |
9035 |
24367 |
|
Date: 2016-12-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
7 |
498 |
320 |
93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
64 |
332 |
224 |
158 |
33 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
214 |
439 |
267 |
14 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
450 |
301 |
13 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
448 |
1194 |
32 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
307 |
5098 |
11695 |
23613 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
7 |
408 |
212 |
243 |
360 |
36 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
135 |
203 |
207 |
319 |
35 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
326 |
281 |
637 |
72 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
129 |
350 |
582 |
63 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
404 |
900 |
130 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
476 |
4220 |
11451 |
23612 |
|
Date: 2016-12-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
4 |
92 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
70 |
348 |
190 |
52 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
48 |
263 |
332 |
296 |
66 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
102 |
327 |
398 |
21 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
274 |
762 |
43 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
324 |
4884 |
13174 |
23667 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
12 |
123 |
171 |
160 |
56 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
37 |
205 |
152 |
361 |
39 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
68 |
317 |
236 |
715 |
87 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
119 |
264 |
721 |
107 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
54 |
274 |
687 |
184 |
23 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
420 |
3748 |
12833 |
23645 |
|
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