Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1765 773 380 24 0 0 0
OW 0 193 222 281 66 4 0 0
VODI 0 52 137 405 160 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 17 160 315 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 62 397 214 4 82
VCDI 0 0 0 18 204 2426 11108 12568
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1334 917 324 9 0 0 0
OW 0 159 390 261 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 343 339 126 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 41 279 144 33 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 216 289 175 44 60
VCDI 0 0 0 77 486 4275 11299 10353
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1760 1407 377 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 120 346 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 22 357 147 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 142 268 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 339 195 18 18
VCDI 0 0 0 12 281 4386 9692 12118
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1144 1614 269 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 183 297 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 131 285 120 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 50 224 175 11 0 0
CDI 0 3 42 163 228 143 31 6
VCDI 0 12 10 104 419 2813 11868 11627
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1167 1636 298 1 0 0 0
OW 0 33 173 263 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 124 298 111 1 0 0
ODI 0 9 29 222 175 14 0 0
CDI 0 2 48 160 217 146 33 7
VCDI 0 14 20 101 426 2808 11866 11626

Date: 2016-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1538 506 311 2 0 0 0
OW 0 89 172 369 46 1 0 0
VODI 0 36 95 301 124 44 4 0
ODI 0 10 41 215 157 74 10 0
CDI 0 2 2 199 253 254 69 51
VCDI 0 0 0 90 417 2839 11529 12232
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1533 542 451 12 0 0 0
OW 0 80 152 302 68 6 0 0
VODI 0 44 66 252 92 57 11 0
ODI 0 17 29 208 145 55 10 0
CDI 0 1 27 167 262 243 71 51
VCDI 0 0 0 105 420 2851 11520 12232

Date: 2016-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1342 762 360 1 0 0 0
OW 0 41 81 344 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 24 358 173 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 119 317 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 299 291 37 93
VCDI 0 0 0 6 229 1621 10240 15222
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1139 649 271 12 0 0 0
OW 0 143 87 284 101 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 67 313 139 46 0 0
ODI 0 21 22 172 141 68 9 0
CDI 0 7 26 93 285 131 48 89
VCDI 0 2 19 113 377 1681 10220 15226

Date: 2016-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 417 1171 318 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 115 262 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 38 288 143 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 131 289 18 0 0
CDI 0 0 7 99 336 170 6 75
VCDI 0 0 0 70 255 2434 9380 16020
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 413 1021 271 13 0 0 0
OW 0 6 158 277 57 1 0 0
VODI 0 3 98 301 243 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 25 136 229 103 0 0
CDI 0 0 17 66 245 206 6 78
VCDI 0 0 26 117 255 2285 9380 16017

Date: 2016-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 823 462 252 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 61 265 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 23 246 161 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 106 246 31 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 78 294 212 58 70
VCDI 0 0 0 20 316 1366 8931 17996
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 796 420 245 27 0 0 0
OW 0 48 83 247 65 10 0 0
VODI 0 3 44 251 210 52 3 0
ODI 0 0 3 133 262 139 49 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 208 166 126 38
VCDI 0 0 0 27 281 1243 8811 18028


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