Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 4022 957 240 1 0 0 0
OW 0 90 163 316 63 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 79 394 246 16 0 0
ODI 0 2 15 130 411 73 2 2
CDI 0 0 9 83 190 269 89 53
VCDI 0 0 0 13 143 5196 11362 7411
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95 3160 1010 238 9 0 0 0
OW 2 31 272 326 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 74 453 133 25 0 0
ODI 0 5 9 308 226 182 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 75 228 324 73 16
VCDI 0 0 0 16 238 3838 11731 8934
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 3310 785 347 7 0 0 0
OW 0 62 112 317 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 10 334 133 4 0 0
ODI 0 13 1 130 336 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 374 248 51 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 233 1833 11738 11596
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8 2224 781 353 11 0 0 0
OW 0 253 230 322 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 92 363 147 6 0 0
ODI 0 5 19 100 310 21 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 70 408 157 12 47
VCDI 0 0 0 6 236 2932 10131 12761
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8 2254 834 388 13 0 0 0
OW 0 214 200 316 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 68 328 157 7 0 0
ODI 0 8 20 104 299 26 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 64 427 186 27 46
VCDI 0 0 0 14 217 2897 10116 12762

Date: 2016-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1475 771 421 38 0 0 0
OW 0 108 231 304 69 10 0 0
VODI 0 37 207 413 184 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 18 222 245 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 90 368 219 21 77
VCDI 0 0 0 14 203 3360 9822 13090
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1486 819 429 41 0 0 0
OW 0 94 208 319 61 6 0 0
VODI 0 39 181 422 218 24 0 0
ODI 0 1 17 188 238 58 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 78 343 297 29 77
VCDI 0 0 0 28 206 3266 9814 13090

Date: 2016-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1811 1392 571 1 0 0 0
OW 0 11 45 391 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 319 191 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 64 303 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 363 287 26 26
VCDI 0 0 0 14 272 3951 11222 10737
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1640 799 318 2 0 0 0
OW 0 147 307 287 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 309 346 113 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 24 222 196 40 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 140 291 291 32 25
VCDI 0 0 0 63 525 3941 11216 10738

Date: 2016-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1568 1327 357 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 158 329 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 75 359 130 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 195 223 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 123 292 130 23 33
VCDI 0 0 0 53 347 2658 9693 13963
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1334 678 202 2 0 0 0
OW 0 173 379 187 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 418 405 95 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 87 295 202 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 219 275 199 30 23
VCDI 0 0 0 108 415 2572 9686 13973

Date: 2016-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1816 617 262 1 0 0 0
OW 0 138 180 281 38 1 0 0
VODI 0 41 145 250 141 31 0 0
ODI 0 4 97 186 187 40 0 0
CDI 0 0 19 228 223 167 37 38
VCDI 0 0 0 191 448 2147 12205 11923
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1369 377 157 10 0 0 0
OW 0 204 156 143 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 244 230 264 51 0 0 0
ODI 0 118 177 261 235 74 2 24
CDI 0 46 69 253 291 229 40 63
VCDI 0 18 49 320 432 2083 12200 11874


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