Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-11-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70145 23110 3678 287 49 0 0 0
OW 16 449 249 182 0 3 0 0
VODI 0 73 163 429 41 15 0 0
ODI 0 6 85 385 120 45 0 0
CDI 0 0 12 290 276 143 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 61 646 5142 2854 146
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71169 23246 2031 470 76 9 0 0
OW 18 400 279 226 0 1 0 0
VODI 0 52 235 499 44 13 3 0
ODI 0 0 47 365 223 25 5 0
CDI 0 0 14 193 417 223 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 82 321 4294 3413 706
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73354 20133 2923 858 106 0 0 0
OW 18 17 56 375 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 7 398 192 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 137 565 45 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 524 597 29 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 111 3539 4144 904
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74337 17890 3471 1164 90 0 0 0
OW 20 25 99 394 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 27 303 213 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 138 367 29 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 630 454 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 169 3844 4245 1105
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74337 17895 3489 1200 94 0 0 0
OW 20 27 84 319 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 24 345 204 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 135 386 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 568 372 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 225 3930 4245 1105

Date: 2016-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65679 22733 6513 1320 174 0 0 0
OW 24 27 121 428 131 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 38 331 236 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 194 253 55 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 365 390 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 173 3976 4743 1135
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65679 22730 6538 1392 183 0 0 0
OW 24 28 104 362 93 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 30 328 263 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 182 263 76 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 325 307 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 205 4039 4743 1135

Date: 2016-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68344 22232 4109 1056 191 2 0 0
OW 25 10 24 442 133 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 3 368 377 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 124 499 51 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 431 383 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 138 4740 4648 748
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68344 22200 3993 1003 380 2 0 0
OW 25 32 92 367 177 8 0 0
VODI 0 12 42 368 239 58 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 174 312 55 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 82 346 188 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 315 4874 4652 748

Date: 2016-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66885 21835 5599 1027 172 1 0 0
OW 28 17 75 362 161 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 8 296 373 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 169 432 108 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 76 349 253 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 462 4049 5655 701
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66885 21784 5448 933 323 1 0 0
OW 28 61 183 316 318 35 0 0
VODI 0 8 48 333 318 103 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 224 212 128 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 104 265 217 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 513 3933 5621 701

Date: 2016-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68860 21131 3670 1223 194 1 0 0
OW 24 16 40 416 151 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 319 302 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 108 467 61 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 546 253 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 187 4540 6234 268
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68860 21071 3508 1213 345 2 0 0
OW 24 37 160 399 308 18 0 0
VODI 0 39 43 292 432 105 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 137 337 119 64 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 236 271 40 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 189 4371 6135 268


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh to. 31. mai 00:12:12 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy