Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-11-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122 4955 451 120 5 0 0 0
OW 0 1020 272 199 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 960 527 875 388 6 0 0
ODI 0 74 55 492 683 197 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 420 777 75 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 131 2666 11258 5293
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117 4587 527 112 13 0 0 0
OW 0 433 230 173 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 985 523 468 151 3 0 0
ODI 0 245 214 693 791 267 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 77 470 547 163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 196 2062 10759 7228
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3200 2621 102 6 0 0 0
OW 0 263 249 115 4 2 0 0
VODI 0 244 407 404 24 2 0 0
ODI 0 119 569 980 477 50 2 0
CDI 0 8 0 104 797 582 79 32
VCDI 0 1 0 17 310 3663 10271 6378
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 191 5032 459 42 0 0 0 0
OW 0 468 158 78 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 155 200 186 45 0 0 0
ODI 0 53 200 394 219 53 7 5
CDI 0 21 264 820 1011 390 76 67
VCDI 0 17 23 171 643 4664 10391 5579
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 191 5165 557 72 0 0 0 0
OW 0 297 93 93 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 192 151 132 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 49 178 384 192 47 8 2
CDI 0 26 298 792 1025 386 86 59
VCDI 0 17 27 218 674 4674 10380 5590

Date: 2016-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110 4777 345 63 0 0 0 0
OW 0 457 228 82 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 227 190 158 68 5 0 0
ODI 0 56 94 107 149 67 3 1
CDI 0 10 58 160 277 520 53 10
VCDI 0 16 10 173 606 5191 9594 8212
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110 4971 459 106 0 0 0 0
OW 0 285 164 113 13 2 0 0
VODI 0 193 142 104 64 3 0 0
ODI 0 59 92 97 146 63 3 1
CDI 0 19 58 171 278 376 68 6
VCDI 0 16 10 152 604 5339 9579 8216

Date: 2016-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5062 1462 164 0 0 0 0
OW 0 49 93 167 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 30 266 84 3 0 0
ODI 0 22 12 94 299 63 16 0
CDI 0 19 5 46 407 311 132 0
VCDI 0 14 1 49 212 5762 14566 2645
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4440 1090 45 0 0 0 0
OW 0 355 243 91 0 1 0 0
VODI 0 235 124 181 48 5 0 0
ODI 0 85 91 179 107 56 13 0
CDI 0 43 49 180 341 213 130 3
VCDI 0 32 6 110 509 5864 14571 2642

Date: 2016-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5042 1420 109 0 0 0 0
OW 0 274 198 90 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 120 493 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 11 359 164 17 0 0
CDI 0 4 1 189 344 110 66 10
VCDI 0 0 0 75 375 7569 11387 3535
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4355 1134 60 0 0 0 0
OW 0 464 240 67 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 382 216 195 7 6 0 0
ODI 0 170 85 363 73 23 16 0
CDI 0 46 62 428 196 88 92 56
VCDI 0 3 13 202 627 7579 11345 3489

Date: 2016-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118 5072 1040 88 0 0 0 0
OW 0 491 220 57 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 255 515 320 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 24 437 106 7 4 0
CDI 0 8 11 243 302 138 56 19
VCDI 0 0 0 98 477 8661 11004 2285
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117 4143 752 64 0 0 0 0
OW 1 504 200 73 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 731 257 153 9 3 2 0
ODI 0 332 331 181 59 21 8 4
CDI 0 112 188 336 140 79 58 18
VCDI 0 26 82 436 681 8703 10996 2282


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