Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-11-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1225 10808 1817 176 11 0 0 0
OW 0 734 355 494 74 11 0 0
VODI 0 460 557 1293 510 51 0 0
ODI 0 299 111 583 1332 127 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 73 592 999 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 251 2891 8016 12005
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9267 3141 114 1 0 0 0
OW 0 369 901 542 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 148 367 978 602 81 0 0
ODI 0 241 148 479 1286 196 0 0
CDI 0 217 62 129 826 1202 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 277 3000 5861 15367
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1715 8071 1749 184 3 0 0 0
OW 8 291 334 310 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 145 451 1141 367 8 0 0
ODI 0 176 250 689 1019 113 0 0
CDI 0 4 6 143 1069 1566 20 1
VCDI 0 0 0 2 201 3352 5274 17158
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1025 7976 2137 117 1 0 0 0
OW 0 253 174 258 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 196 752 414 27 0 0
ODI 0 113 41 533 1082 140 0 0
CDI 0 198 141 358 1118 936 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 583 4014 8089 14997
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1025 8047 2174 145 1 0 0 0
OW 0 210 140 325 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 197 714 406 39 0 0
ODI 0 98 27 447 1171 146 0 0
CDI 0 219 151 378 911 929 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 44 707 4003 8087 14997

Date: 2016-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 685 7568 2563 109 1 0 0 0
OW 0 228 193 249 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 156 510 100 3 0 0
ODI 0 48 50 564 825 139 0 0
CDI 0 149 40 203 1121 707 18 0
VCDI 0 93 89 191 682 3459 6147 18839
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 685 7606 2616 178 1 0 0 0
OW 0 173 159 243 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 145 134 518 98 4 0 0
ODI 0 28 49 516 875 155 0 0
CDI 0 80 8 152 1015 656 36 0
VCDI 0 186 125 219 744 3493 6129 18839

Date: 2016-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 853 8818 1381 209 1 0 0 0
OW 0 90 50 397 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 192 104 601 176 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 18 241 919 40 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 43 1116 1514 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 363 3179 6583 18916
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 853 8498 1205 251 22 0 0 0
OW 0 178 149 146 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 143 64 437 155 6 0 0
ODI 0 50 9 328 627 182 0 0
CDI 0 39 14 97 753 735 14 0
VCDI 0 238 117 232 977 3810 6570 18916

Date: 2016-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 983 8249 1415 368 9 0 0 0
OW 0 97 47 249 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 22 265 244 21 0 0
ODI 0 196 118 147 341 175 0 0
CDI 0 22 40 182 475 624 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 342 4708 8614 17748
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 983 7901 1297 364 101 4 0 0
OW 0 236 84 198 76 19 0 0
VODI 0 146 46 247 191 170 0 0
ODI 0 59 20 119 286 259 0 0
CDI 0 47 26 78 364 748 37 0
VCDI 0 226 169 232 473 4328 8584 17748

Date: 2016-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 9211 1559 112 1 0 0 0
OW 0 180 137 226 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 54 371 81 0 0 0
ODI 0 140 74 285 369 38 0 0
CDI 0 36 87 211 624 239 2 0
VCDI 0 39 10 93 1305 4768 9274 16223
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 8971 1397 163 14 0 0 0
OW 0 251 211 176 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 130 114 293 145 38 0 0
ODI 0 47 10 246 379 150 0 0
CDI 0 44 11 152 513 415 8 0
VCDI 0 235 178 268 1306 4442 9268 16223


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