Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-11-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76530 36606 3819 560 53 20 0 0
OW 6 2118 814 966 133 22 0 0
VODI 0 1462 1140 2468 1003 84 0 0
ODI 0 374 166 1190 2182 375 4 0
CDI 0 5 0 163 1262 2020 85 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 471 8966 23584 18384
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66825 39154 8849 589 54 2 0 0
OW 9 1254 1289 1010 126 3 0 0
VODI 0 1197 991 1762 951 85 0 0
ODI 0 486 362 1254 2338 475 3 0
CDI 0 217 63 235 1601 1913 193 0
VCDI 0 0 0 41 567 8918 20414 23818
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65642 34669 13318 741 28 0 0 0
OW 18 938 1025 774 97 3 0 0
VODI 0 575 1290 2099 571 16 0 0
ODI 0 295 836 1761 1772 211 2 0
CDI 0 12 6 251 2151 2448 104 33
VCDI 0 1 0 19 573 11823 19081 23865
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74493 34428 3762 432 22 3 0 0
OW 17 1526 432 525 33 3 0 0
VODI 0 645 858 1377 597 30 0 0
ODI 0 199 364 1303 1539 222 7 5
CDI 0 219 405 1255 2454 1439 100 67
VCDI 0 17 23 206 1530 12748 22379 21384
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74493 34922 3926 513 16 2 0 0
OW 17 1076 378 602 46 4 0 0
VODI 0 599 815 1242 554 45 0 0
ODI 0 175 249 1236 1609 224 8 2
CDI 0 245 449 1243 2269 1431 112 59
VCDI 0 17 27 262 1681 12739 22366 21395

Date: 2016-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68957 36176 6395 612 29 3 0 0
OW 18 1523 500 530 51 9 0 0
VODI 0 819 604 917 296 30 0 0
ODI 0 239 413 1117 1331 267 3 1
CDI 0 159 110 443 1798 1494 84 10
VCDI 0 109 99 364 1511 13412 18645 27970
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68957 36420 6579 757 38 2 0 0
OW 18 1235 427 552 59 12 0 0
VODI 0 856 570 935 279 43 0 0
ODI 0 209 321 957 1259 273 3 1
CDI 0 103 89 411 1809 1310 122 6
VCDI 0 202 135 371 1572 13575 18607 27974

Date: 2016-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66754 40505 7644 790 21 5 0 0
OW 15 147 250 994 47 8 0 0
VODI 0 216 144 1457 406 20 0 0
ODI 0 68 30 473 1835 145 16 0
CDI 0 19 10 89 2007 2397 137 0
VCDI 0 14 1 49 627 12960 24598 22150
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66751 38273 6655 652 44 2 0 0
OW 18 1298 491 424 98 12 0 0
VODI 0 871 470 943 313 31 0 0
ODI 0 175 241 1012 994 288 13 0
CDI 0 82 99 470 1784 1292 152 3
VCDI 0 270 123 351 1710 13910 24586 22147

Date: 2016-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65400 39595 8890 1046 50 0 0 0
OW 16 515 410 700 118 7 0 0
VODI 0 124 178 1229 410 43 0 0
ODI 0 224 129 838 885 225 0 0
CDI 0 26 41 409 1437 1108 73 10
VCDI 0 0 0 102 903 18797 21827 21283
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65395 36912 8084 778 139 4 0 0
OW 21 1765 441 422 100 28 0 0
VODI 0 1096 450 739 254 193 0 0
ODI 0 385 303 951 635 291 16 0
CDI 0 97 188 869 970 949 131 56
VCDI 0 229 182 565 1705 18715 21753 21237

Date: 2016-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70295 37393 6277 487 50 0 0 0
OW 16 1120 606 465 13 3 0 0
VODI 0 400 732 1120 126 15 0 0
ODI 0 168 183 1107 595 90 4 0
CDI 0 44 110 744 1202 520 58 19
VCDI 0 39 10 252 2428 18571 23132 18654
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70262 34175 5608 454 63 0 0 0
OW 49 1811 553 305 37 4 0 0
VODI 0 1682 536 566 168 62 2 0
ODI 0 900 569 708 467 190 8 4
CDI 0 315 323 975 734 564 66 18
VCDI 0 281 329 1167 2945 18379 23118 18651


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh on. 30. mai 23:53:37 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy