Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-11-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90 6474 754 42 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1537 178 105 114 11 0 0
VODI 0 952 348 286 397 57 0 0
ODI 0 138 193 264 335 230 5 0
CDI 0 35 24 202 477 525 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 421 4894 9959 2999
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 853 4997 448 37 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1016 417 153 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1571 453 307 73 234 0 0
ODI 0 41 316 372 183 370 0 0
CDI 0 9 56 387 274 537 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 71 610 4969 10522 2791
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123 6960 525 198 0 0 0 0
OW 0 740 560 537 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 247 211 955 265 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 243 660 157 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 477 600 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 430 3640 8578 5880
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 5575 432 114 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1273 339 277 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 711 400 1077 417 5 0 0
ODI 0 3 12 267 682 157 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 435 729 80 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 138 2821 9581 6517
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 5564 413 136 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1163 254 250 115 0 0 0
VODI 0 752 479 863 367 22 0 0
ODI 0 83 37 480 620 188 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 457 691 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 119 2811 9608 6517

Date: 2016-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133 4826 424 129 7 0 0 0
OW 0 700 172 222 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 1048 514 641 358 16 0 0
ODI 0 176 107 572 830 125 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 476 750 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 161 2252 10836 6504
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133 4716 376 103 7 0 0 0
OW 0 538 174 205 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 1156 449 517 402 30 0 0
ODI 0 340 217 714 594 163 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 94 622 768 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 212 2182 10820 6504

Date: 2016-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 202 4048 1397 114 11 3 0 0
OW 0 323 294 195 2 5 0 0
VODI 0 527 898 904 63 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 7 374 779 67 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 388 997 41 15
VCDI 0 0 0 14 118 1684 9802 8764
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 202 3905 1109 93 12 5 0 0
OW 0 328 250 91 6 3 0 0
VODI 0 454 500 283 110 17 8 0
ODI 0 200 609 705 394 245 16 4
CDI 0 13 128 406 552 629 40 162
VCDI 0 0 0 57 287 1858 9788 8613

Date: 2016-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4123 1756 66 0 0 0 0
OW 0 272 261 71 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 136 306 257 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 584 926 228 52 9 2
CDI 0 26 104 521 886 432 87 63
VCDI 0 13 6 148 433 5380 10595 4266
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3859 1701 60 0 0 0 0
OW 0 258 249 90 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 207 324 283 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 137 457 628 165 91 9 6
CDI 0 127 243 682 573 503 97 52
VCDI 0 36 43 246 816 5270 10585 4273

Date: 2016-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 172 4881 399 45 0 0 0 0
OW 0 483 209 69 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 167 161 179 29 0 0 0
ODI 0 53 103 230 252 55 2 0
CDI 0 7 71 503 776 453 71 36
VCDI 0 20 18 197 699 4316 10306 7113
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 172 4709 384 68 1 0 0 0
OW 0 316 172 103 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 246 172 225 59 13 0 0
ODI 0 148 120 235 379 61 15 0
CDI 0 127 29 326 566 515 113 63
VCDI 0 65 84 266 748 4235 10251 7086


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