Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-11-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2987 10395 969 260 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1710 303 248 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 1454 881 979 413 7 0 0
ODI 0 121 170 743 592 370 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 363 604 522 19 28
VCDI 0 0 0 91 774 3114 6408 11323
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2127 10665 1322 111 0 0 0 0
OW 30 1620 307 202 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 1578 761 578 83 0 0 0
ODI 0 456 472 1200 536 36 0 0
CDI 0 20 15 634 1038 105 2 17
VCDI 0 0 0 180 1327 2455 5696 12292
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1405 12679 2287 246 9 0 0 0
OW 6 1272 845 761 146 0 0 0
VODI 0 309 274 1283 525 7 0 0
ODI 0 27 5 420 786 107 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 136 834 411 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 95 387 2024 5625 12955
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 507 12062 1921 156 0 0 0 0
OW 0 669 399 556 114 2 0 0
VODI 0 607 881 1330 585 16 0 0
ODI 0 217 65 505 1238 124 0 0
CDI 0 4 0 68 725 770 2 1
VCDI 0 0 0 47 214 2586 8718 10777
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 507 12015 1978 253 1 0 0 0
OW 0 763 375 507 110 4 0 0
VODI 0 515 838 1213 518 13 0 0
ODI 0 261 75 573 1188 82 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 66 834 532 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 50 225 2867 8718 10778

Date: 2016-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 687 10542 1902 123 2 0 0 0
OW 0 750 587 474 99 14 0 0
VODI 0 320 313 938 805 110 0 0
ODI 0 347 158 561 1186 196 0 0
CDI 0 44 10 74 746 1140 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 206 3175 7622 12728
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 687 10616 2088 217 25 0 0 0
OW 0 568 373 422 119 12 0 0
VODI 0 387 352 873 687 103 0 0
ODI 0 194 130 570 1017 119 0 0
CDI 0 238 27 88 997 1119 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 199 3282 7621 12728

Date: 2016-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1440 9091 1356 154 1 0 0 0
OW 7 363 729 342 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 342 525 1490 216 1 0 0
ODI 0 19 4 387 1539 201 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 670 2079 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 129 2766 5524 16465
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1440 9163 1545 201 24 0 0 0
OW 7 155 437 493 51 13 0 0
VODI 0 72 423 1056 294 69 0 0
ODI 0 101 97 302 1057 404 0 0
CDI 0 230 106 279 822 1106 3 0
VCDI 0 94 6 59 309 3455 5528 16465

Date: 2016-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 8948 2366 168 1 0 0 0
OW 0 250 254 242 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 179 375 716 583 16 0 0
ODI 0 264 125 669 779 113 0 0
CDI 0 104 53 402 1303 931 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 510 3765 7133 15558
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 8975 2517 225 20 0 0 0
OW 0 224 238 324 26 4 0 0
VODI 0 107 243 756 578 100 0 0
ODI 0 36 49 510 1004 177 0 0
CDI 0 61 17 149 1008 696 29 0
VCDI 0 342 109 259 560 3848 7116 15558

Date: 2016-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 641 7863 2430 136 1 0 0 0
OW 0 230 171 198 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 148 246 578 151 26 0 0
ODI 0 57 66 625 1085 123 0 0
CDI 0 229 126 156 1289 680 0 2
VCDI 0 19 13 117 693 4076 7280 16405
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 641 7911 2517 168 10 0 0 0
OW 0 172 158 299 54 5 0 0
VODI 0 126 183 677 285 62 0 0
ODI 0 39 22 361 1324 263 0 0
CDI 0 19 12 107 964 842 49 39
VCDI 0 279 160 198 588 3733 7231 16368


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 30. mai 23:40:06 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy