Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector
Bulletin date: 2016-10-27
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-10-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7 |
7626 |
2421 |
125 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
8 |
902 |
316 |
176 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
552 |
700 |
783 |
72 |
60 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
32 |
237 |
946 |
861 |
543 |
6 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
159 |
574 |
891 |
220 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
72 |
1850 |
11294 |
641 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-10-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
3838 |
5038 |
101 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
1211 |
333 |
174 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
583 |
636 |
609 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
174 |
234 |
665 |
531 |
123 |
3 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
25 |
480 |
917 |
1139 |
49 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
535 |
3188 |
9623 |
1811 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-10-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
952 |
6883 |
539 |
108 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1250 |
546 |
142 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
597 |
728 |
683 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
41 |
24 |
564 |
559 |
61 |
9 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
1 |
62 |
710 |
1011 |
20 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
188 |
2718 |
8743 |
4884 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-10-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13 |
7018 |
688 |
44 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
7 |
1531 |
109 |
219 |
133 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
3 |
837 |
287 |
445 |
212 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
108 |
210 |
392 |
453 |
57 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
13 |
3 |
191 |
762 |
392 |
9 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
607 |
4483 |
11121 |
1717 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14 |
7279 |
704 |
87 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
9 |
1083 |
130 |
151 |
94 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1001 |
257 |
464 |
213 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
127 |
159 |
384 |
450 |
61 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
17 |
47 |
165 |
786 |
412 |
8 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
578 |
4461 |
11122 |
1717 |
|
Date: 2016-10-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
97 |
6109 |
571 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1515 |
225 |
94 |
9 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1113 |
474 |
332 |
262 |
157 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
82 |
211 |
416 |
190 |
345 |
8 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
42 |
250 |
304 |
573 |
18 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
510 |
4630 |
10806 |
2658 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
97 |
6616 |
668 |
44 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
970 |
162 |
108 |
56 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1152 |
457 |
297 |
211 |
171 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
73 |
168 |
415 |
192 |
372 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
12 |
50 |
226 |
346 |
617 |
20 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
74 |
470 |
4530 |
10804 |
2658 |
|
Date: 2016-10-31:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
87 |
7454 |
697 |
116 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
671 |
509 |
589 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
199 |
156 |
819 |
170 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
206 |
614 |
255 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
391 |
835 |
21 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
276 |
4390 |
7974 |
5610 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
87 |
5807 |
434 |
140 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
780 |
165 |
324 |
16 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1521 |
391 |
419 |
213 |
136 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
213 |
305 |
358 |
237 |
287 |
3 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
55 |
411 |
306 |
460 |
71 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
100 |
679 |
4588 |
7925 |
5610 |
|
Date: 2016-11-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
9 |
6165 |
504 |
134 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1132 |
555 |
369 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
433 |
271 |
1062 |
352 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
259 |
689 |
169 |
3 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
471 |
594 |
74 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
262 |
3144 |
8687 |
6700 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
9 |
5314 |
504 |
164 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
697 |
149 |
319 |
73 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1338 |
338 |
475 |
317 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
381 |
327 |
398 |
399 |
244 |
5 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
389 |
461 |
458 |
108 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
101 |
520 |
3176 |
8651 |
6700 |
|
Date: 2016-11-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
122 |
4955 |
451 |
120 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1020 |
272 |
199 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
960 |
527 |
875 |
388 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
74 |
55 |
492 |
683 |
197 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
420 |
777 |
75 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
131 |
2666 |
11258 |
5293 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
122 |
4894 |
488 |
213 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
610 |
158 |
141 |
121 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1092 |
325 |
450 |
331 |
104 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
413 |
318 |
479 |
385 |
326 |
9 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
16 |
385 |
377 |
515 |
123 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
71 |
397 |
2701 |
11205 |
5293 |
|
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