Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2016-10-27
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-10-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3000 |
11947 |
1993 |
260 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
745 |
787 |
450 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
250 |
806 |
1720 |
662 |
88 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
77 |
662 |
557 |
422 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
311 |
665 |
168 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
85 |
1504 |
9299 |
9294 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-10-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3864 |
11062 |
989 |
134 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1168 |
527 |
363 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
574 |
720 |
1041 |
172 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
17 |
246 |
1036 |
1075 |
439 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
173 |
576 |
736 |
89 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
103 |
1638 |
8382 |
10712 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-10-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4074 |
10231 |
1493 |
140 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
13 |
1298 |
811 |
441 |
93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
405 |
706 |
1345 |
459 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
2 |
607 |
867 |
186 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
703 |
596 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
1590 |
8032 |
11550 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-10-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2345 |
10929 |
1548 |
186 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1681 |
477 |
291 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
985 |
858 |
1249 |
499 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
42 |
89 |
734 |
372 |
468 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
277 |
815 |
349 |
14 |
7 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
605 |
3493 |
7339 |
10092 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2344 |
11331 |
1648 |
267 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
1400 |
424 |
226 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
853 |
824 |
1239 |
379 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
53 |
76 |
753 |
558 |
401 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
239 |
831 |
431 |
14 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
524 |
3476 |
7339 |
10094 |
|
Date: 2016-10-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2086 |
9935 |
2115 |
122 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
18 |
1719 |
257 |
204 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1647 |
869 |
754 |
119 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
317 |
265 |
1084 |
792 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
35 |
3 |
445 |
960 |
242 |
17 |
22 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
170 |
839 |
2664 |
6477 |
11645 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2097 |
10089 |
2167 |
134 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
7 |
1471 |
189 |
163 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1745 |
887 |
739 |
89 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
315 |
264 |
1077 |
747 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
33 |
2 |
505 |
999 |
192 |
17 |
21 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
161 |
873 |
2725 |
6477 |
11646 |
|
Date: 2016-10-31:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2635 |
13414 |
1696 |
282 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
791 |
688 |
847 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
117 |
85 |
1489 |
288 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
2 |
420 |
1235 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
83 |
627 |
279 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
531 |
2112 |
5594 |
12559 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2593 |
10586 |
1047 |
215 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
42 |
1297 |
198 |
200 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1546 |
549 |
445 |
71 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
867 |
601 |
1090 |
320 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
32 |
76 |
808 |
826 |
84 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
0 |
384 |
1480 |
2340 |
5594 |
12559 |
|
Date: 2016-11-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82 |
13603 |
1440 |
160 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1082 |
417 |
564 |
229 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
858 |
678 |
1380 |
774 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
91 |
13 |
305 |
874 |
117 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
114 |
723 |
834 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
312 |
2033 |
7294 |
11803 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
80 |
12252 |
1280 |
133 |
54 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
1123 |
132 |
239 |
143 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1086 |
334 |
307 |
182 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
940 |
562 |
728 |
282 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
228 |
237 |
835 |
1022 |
314 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
5 |
3 |
342 |
1238 |
2652 |
7294 |
11803 |
|
Date: 2016-11-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1225 |
10808 |
1817 |
176 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
734 |
355 |
494 |
74 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
460 |
557 |
1293 |
510 |
51 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
299 |
111 |
583 |
1332 |
127 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
0 |
73 |
592 |
999 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
251 |
2891 |
8016 |
12005 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1225 |
9990 |
1691 |
148 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
822 |
200 |
383 |
45 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
828 |
319 |
749 |
174 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
540 |
389 |
485 |
525 |
163 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
117 |
172 |
573 |
871 |
641 |
2 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
9 |
69 |
286 |
1143 |
3218 |
8015 |
12003 |
|
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